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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Stock Markets Today: How the Middle East Crisis Boosts the Stock Market

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has sent oil prices soaring, which in turn has boosted the stock market. Investors are betting on higher demand for energy and commodities, as well as increased spending on defense and security. Here are some of the key factors that are driving the market rally:


- Oil prices have surged to their highest level since 2014, as the threat of supply disruptions looms over the region. The US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, rose above $90 a barrel on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent crude, topped $100 a barrel.

- Energy stocks have been among the biggest winners, as higher oil prices translate into higher profits for oil producers and refiners. The S&P 500 energy sector gained 3.2% on Monday, outperforming the broader index, which rose 1.3%.

- Other commodity-related stocks have also benefited from the rising tensions, as investors expect higher demand for metals, minerals and agricultural products. The S&P 500 materials sector rose 2.4% on Monday, while the industrials sector added 1.9%.

- Defense and security stocks have also seen a boost, as the conflict increases the need for military equipment and services. The S&P 500 aerospace and defense industry group climbed 2.1% on Monday, while the information technology sector, which includes cybersecurity firms, advanced 1.6%.


The market rally may continue as long as the conflict does not escalate into a full-blown war that disrupts global trade and growth. However, investors should also be aware of the risks and uncertainties that could derail the bullish momentum, such as inflationary pressures, geopolitical shocks and policy changes.

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