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Bank of Canada Holds the Line as Global Turmoil Clouds Outlook

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a press conference in Ottawa on September 17, 2025 The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate steady at 2.25%, a decision that reflects the delicate balancing act policymakers face as global uncertainty intensifies. With inflationary pressures rising and economic growth showing signs of strain, the central bank is navigating a narrow path shaped by forces largely outside its control. A major driver of the current tension is the surge in oil prices triggered by ongoing geopolitical conflict. Higher energy costs are feeding into broader inflation, raising concerns that price pressures could become more persistent. At the same time, elevated borrowing costs and weakening consumer confidence are weighing on domestic economic momentum. By holding the rate, the Bank of Canada signals caution: it aims to avoid stifling growth while still keeping inflation expectations anchored. The central bank emphasized that it rema...
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Stock Markets Today: How the Middle East Crisis Boosts the Stock Market

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has sent oil prices soaring, which in turn has boosted the stock market. Investors are betting on higher demand for energy and commodities, as well as increased spending on defense and security. Here are some of the key factors that are driving the market rally:


- Oil prices have surged to their highest level since 2014, as the threat of supply disruptions looms over the region. The US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, rose above $90 a barrel on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent crude, topped $100 a barrel.

- Energy stocks have been among the biggest winners, as higher oil prices translate into higher profits for oil producers and refiners. The S&P 500 energy sector gained 3.2% on Monday, outperforming the broader index, which rose 1.3%.

- Other commodity-related stocks have also benefited from the rising tensions, as investors expect higher demand for metals, minerals and agricultural products. The S&P 500 materials sector rose 2.4% on Monday, while the industrials sector added 1.9%.

- Defense and security stocks have also seen a boost, as the conflict increases the need for military equipment and services. The S&P 500 aerospace and defense industry group climbed 2.1% on Monday, while the information technology sector, which includes cybersecurity firms, advanced 1.6%.


The market rally may continue as long as the conflict does not escalate into a full-blown war that disrupts global trade and growth. However, investors should also be aware of the risks and uncertainties that could derail the bullish momentum, such as inflationary pressures, geopolitical shocks and policy changes.

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