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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...
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Stock Markets Today: How the Middle East Crisis Boosts the Stock Market

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has sent oil prices soaring, which in turn has boosted the stock market. Investors are betting on higher demand for energy and commodities, as well as increased spending on defense and security. Here are some of the key factors that are driving the market rally:


- Oil prices have surged to their highest level since 2014, as the threat of supply disruptions looms over the region. The US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, rose above $90 a barrel on Monday, while the global benchmark, Brent crude, topped $100 a barrel.

- Energy stocks have been among the biggest winners, as higher oil prices translate into higher profits for oil producers and refiners. The S&P 500 energy sector gained 3.2% on Monday, outperforming the broader index, which rose 1.3%.

- Other commodity-related stocks have also benefited from the rising tensions, as investors expect higher demand for metals, minerals and agricultural products. The S&P 500 materials sector rose 2.4% on Monday, while the industrials sector added 1.9%.

- Defense and security stocks have also seen a boost, as the conflict increases the need for military equipment and services. The S&P 500 aerospace and defense industry group climbed 2.1% on Monday, while the information technology sector, which includes cybersecurity firms, advanced 1.6%.


The market rally may continue as long as the conflict does not escalate into a full-blown war that disrupts global trade and growth. However, investors should also be aware of the risks and uncertainties that could derail the bullish momentum, such as inflationary pressures, geopolitical shocks and policy changes.

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