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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...
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Stock Markets Today: Toronto Market Rises Amid Lower Bond Yields

                                             


The Toronto stock market closed at its highest level in two weeks on Wednesday, as investors welcomed the decline in bond yields that eased concerns about inflation and higher borrowing costs. The S&P/TSX composite index gained 0.8% to end the day at 20,872.64 points, led by gains in the energy, financial and industrial sectors. The Canadian dollar also appreciated against its U.S. counterpart, trading at 80.32 cents US, up from 79.96 cents US on Tuesday.

The lower bond yields, which reflect the cost of borrowing for governments and corporations, were driven by a weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation report for September. The annual inflation rate in the U.S. slowed to 5.4% from 5.7% in August, easing some fears that the Federal Reserve would have to tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 1.53% from 1.59% on Tuesday, while the yield on the Canadian equivalent dropped to 1.41% from 1.47%.

The lower bond yields also boosted the appeal of dividend-paying stocks, such as banks and utilities, which tend to perform well when interest rates are low. The financial sector rose 1.2%, with all six of the major banks posting gains. The energy sector climbed 1.6%, as oil prices rose above $80 US a barrel for the first time since 2014, supported by strong demand and supply disruptions. The industrial sector advanced 0.9%, with shares of Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Railway both up more than 2%.

The positive mood on Bay Street contrasted with a mixed performance on Wall Street, where the Dow Jones industrial average added 0.3% to close at 34,987.02 points, while the S&P 500 index slipped 0.1% to 4,360.03 points and the Nasdaq composite index fell 0.5% to 14,543.13 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was weighed down by losses in some of the big-name companies, such as Apple, Amazon and Netflix, which are sensitive to higher interest rates and valuation concerns.

Analysts said that despite the lower bond yields and inflation data, investors remain cautious about the outlook for the global economy amid the ongoing pandemic and supply chain issues that are affecting many industries. They also noted that the earnings season, which kicked off this week with reports from some of the major U.S. banks, will provide more clues about how companies are coping with the challenges and opportunities in the post-Covid world.

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