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Wall Street Eyes Weekly Gain as Peace Hopes Lift Futures

  Wall Street Poised for Weekly Gain as Futures Climb on Middle East Peace Hopes Wall Street looked set to close the week on a positive note as U.S. equity futures climbed Friday, supported by renewed optimism that diplomatic progress in the Middle East could ease geopolitical tensions. Investors have been highly sensitive to any signs of de‑escalation, and this week’s developments helped unwind some of the risk premiums that had weighed on global markets. Oil prices, which surged earlier in the month on fears of supply disruptions, pulled back again as ceasefire discussions gained traction. Lower energy costs have helped cool inflation expectations, giving markets a bit more breathing room after a volatile stretch. Major U.S. indexes are now on track for a weekly gain, with tech and consumer stocks leading the rebound. Still, analysts caution that sentiment remains fragile: any setback in negotiations could quickly revive market turbulence. For Canadian investors, easing oil v...

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TSX Tumbles as Rate Hike Fears Loom

The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) closed at its lowest level in two weeks on Friday, as investors worried about the possibility of higher interest rates in the near future. The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped 0.8% to 20,490.36 points, its worst performance since October 6.

The main factor behind the sell-off was the uncertainty over the timing and pace of monetary policy tightening by the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the U.S. Federal Reserve. Both central banks have signaled that they are ready to start reducing their massive bond-buying programs, which have supported the economic recovery from the pandemic.

However, the exact timing and magnitude of the tapering remain unclear, as the central banks balance the risks of inflation and growth. The BoC is expected to announce its decision on October 27, while the Fed will meet on November 2-3.

The prospect of less stimulus and higher borrowing costs weighed on the sentiment of investors, who sold off sectors that are sensitive to interest rates, such as financials, utilities and real estate. The energy sector also declined, despite a rise in oil prices, as some profit-taking took place after a strong rally in recent weeks.

On the positive side, some sectors that benefit from higher interest rates, such as materials and industrials, managed to post gains. The technology sector also outperformed, as some investors sought refuge in growth stocks.

The TSX was also influenced by the corporate earnings season, which kicked off this week. Some of the notable results included Shopify, which beat analysts' expectations and raised its full-year outlook; Rogers Communications, which missed estimates and lowered its guidance; and Canadian National Railway, which reported a mixed quarter and faced a strike threat from its workers.

The TSX is still up 16% year-to-date, but it has lagged behind its U.S. peers, which have reached record highs this month. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both gained 0.2% on Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.1%.



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