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Democrats Win U.S. Congress: What It Means for Canadian Tariffs and Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief • Wednesday, November 4, 2026 Democrats have won control of both the U.S. House and Senate, including seats in states Donald Trump carried by double digits two years ago. For Canadians, the big question is simple: does this end the tariffs? The short answer is not yet. What happened The Associated Press and major U.S. networks called the Senate for Democrats late Tuesday night and the House early Wednesday. Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, according to Forbes’ tally of AP calls, including Maine, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio and Texas. In the House, roughly 75 races were still undecided at last report, and the new Congress does not take over until 2027. Democratic leaders framed the result as a call for change, while news outlets widely described it as a rebuke of President Trump. Trump told the New York Times he was “absolutely willing” to accept the results and said Republicans would work with Democrats. Why it matters in Canada Democrati...
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Why Higher Bond Yields May Not Stop the Bank of Canada from Raising Rates

                                                    


The Bank of Canada Governor, Tiff Macklem, recently spoke at an IMF meeting in Morocco, where he addressed the issue of surging bond yields and their implications for monetary policy. Bond yields are the interest rates that investors demand to lend money to governments or corporations. They reflect the market's expectations of future inflation and economic growth.

Macklem said that higher bond yields have indeed tightened financial conditions, meaning that borrowing costs for businesses and individuals have increased. This could potentially slow down the economic recovery process, as consumers and firms may reduce their spending and investment plans.

However, he also emphasized that higher bond yields are not a substitute for doing what needs to be done to get inflation back to the Bank's 2% target. He said that the Bank is looking for clear signs that underlying inflation pressures are easing before deciding whether to raise its overnight rate, which is currently at 5%.

The Bank has hiked its rate 10 times in 18 months, but it still does not see inflation slowing to its target until mid-2025. Macklem said that the Bank will weigh the trade-off between letting previous rate hikes work through the economy or raising again to counter sticky inflation.

The next interest rate decision will be announced on Oct. 25, along with an update of the Bank's economic forecasts. Macklem said that the Bank is not forecasting a serious recession, despite the unexpected contraction in the second quarter and the stagnation in the first two months of the third quarter.

He also expressed confidence in the strength of the labor market and the wage growth that will help households cope with higher mortgage rates when they renew their loans. The five-year yield on Canada's bonds has surged as high as 4.461% this month, its highest level in 16 years.

The Bank of Canada faces a delicate balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing inflation. Higher bond yields may make its job harder, but they may not deter it from raising rates if inflation remains stubbornly high.

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