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Oil Surges Past $103 as TSX Extends Losing Streak

  Markets are lower this morning as oil surges past US$103 and tech stocks remain under pressure, with the TSX coming off a fourth straight decline. Below is your ready-to-publish Canadian Money Brief update for April 29, 2026 , built from today’s market data and news. TSX slips as oil spikes and global tensions rise The S&P/TSX Composite opened at 33,584 , down 0.69% from yesterday’s close as weakness in tech and materials continues to weigh on the index. Rising geopolitical tensions and renewed uncertainty around the Iran conflict have pushed WTI crude above US$103 , lifting Canadian energy names but not enough to offset broader declines.  U.S. markets are also softer, with the S&P 500 down 0.49% and tech stocks retreating amid renewed AI growth concerns.  Oil rallies on OPEC turmoil Crude prices are up more than 3% , driven by the UAE’s announcement that it will exit OPEC and by expectations of prolonged supply disruptions tied to the Iran war.  ...
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Why Higher Bond Yields May Not Stop the Bank of Canada from Raising Rates

                                                    


The Bank of Canada Governor, Tiff Macklem, recently spoke at an IMF meeting in Morocco, where he addressed the issue of surging bond yields and their implications for monetary policy. Bond yields are the interest rates that investors demand to lend money to governments or corporations. They reflect the market's expectations of future inflation and economic growth.

Macklem said that higher bond yields have indeed tightened financial conditions, meaning that borrowing costs for businesses and individuals have increased. This could potentially slow down the economic recovery process, as consumers and firms may reduce their spending and investment plans.

However, he also emphasized that higher bond yields are not a substitute for doing what needs to be done to get inflation back to the Bank's 2% target. He said that the Bank is looking for clear signs that underlying inflation pressures are easing before deciding whether to raise its overnight rate, which is currently at 5%.

The Bank has hiked its rate 10 times in 18 months, but it still does not see inflation slowing to its target until mid-2025. Macklem said that the Bank will weigh the trade-off between letting previous rate hikes work through the economy or raising again to counter sticky inflation.

The next interest rate decision will be announced on Oct. 25, along with an update of the Bank's economic forecasts. Macklem said that the Bank is not forecasting a serious recession, despite the unexpected contraction in the second quarter and the stagnation in the first two months of the third quarter.

He also expressed confidence in the strength of the labor market and the wage growth that will help households cope with higher mortgage rates when they renew their loans. The five-year yield on Canada's bonds has surged as high as 4.461% this month, its highest level in 16 years.

The Bank of Canada faces a delicate balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing inflation. Higher bond yields may make its job harder, but they may not deter it from raising rates if inflation remains stubbornly high.

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