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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...
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Bank of Canada keeps interest rate at 5%, warns of future hikes

 

The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced on Wednesday that it is maintaining its key interest rate at 5% for the eighth consecutive time, citing the need to balance the risks of high inflation and a slowing economy.

The central bank said that inflation has been running above its 2% target for several months, mainly due to higher energy prices and supply chain disruptions. However, it also noted that the economy is facing headwinds from the Omicron variant of COVID-19, which has led to renewed public health measures and uncertainty.

The BoC said that it expects inflation to moderate in the second half of 2024, as the effects of transitory factors fade and the output gap closes. It also said that it will continue to monitor the evolution of the economy and the pandemic, and that it is prepared to raise interest rates further if needed to achieve its inflation objective.

The BoC’s decision was widely expected by analysts, who have been speculating on the timing of the next rate hike. Some believe that the BoC will raise rates as early as January, while others think that it will wait until April or later, depending on the impact of the Omicron variant on the economy.

The BoC’s key interest rate affects the cost of borrowing for consumers and businesses, as well as the value of the Canadian dollar. A higher interest rate tends to attract foreign investors, boosting the demand for the loonie. The Canadian dollar was trading at 79.32 US cents on Wednesday, up slightly from 79.25 US cents on Tuesday.


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