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12 Days to the Tariff Deadline: What August 19 Actually Means for Your Wallet

  Published August 7, 2026 Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc is back in Washington, Mark Carney says his tone is "quite firm," and the clock is running out on a deal. Here's what's actually on the line — and why it matters even if you've never shipped a case of wine across the border. The countdown: At 12:01 a.m. ET on August 19, new 50% U.S. tariffs are scheduled to hit roughly $20 billion worth of Canadian exports — with or without a deal. What's actually happening on August 19 On July 20, President Trump signed three separate proclamations under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 — a Depression-era provision that had never been used this way before. Each proclamation targets a different Canadian sector the U.S. says is treated unfairly: motor vehicles, alcoholic beverages, and dairy. Every covered good gets hit with an additional 50% tariff the moment it crosses into the U.S. The headline categories get the attention, but the actual product lists — buried ...
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Canada’s economy continues to sputter in Q4 2023

According to Statistics Canada, Canada’s economy showed no growth in October, remaining unchanged at 0.0% on a monthly basis, which is below analyst expectations of 0.2% growth . This marks the third straight month where economic growth was essentially unchanged. Advance estimates for November showed that GDP increased 0.1% last month, as increases in manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting were partially offset by decreases in retail trade .

The country’s economic engine continued to sputter in the fourth quarter, according to Royce Mendes, Desjardins’ managing director and head of macro strategy. He expects the economy to post “virtually no growth” in the fourth quarter and continue to stagnate. As more households and businesses feel the impacts of higher interest rates in 2024, we expect Canada to fall into at least a mild recession. So while the economy is sputtering now, it might begin rolling backwards early in the new year.


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