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Carney's Retaliation List: What It Could Mean for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 22, 2026 · Canadian Money Brief The 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods are no longer a threat — they took effect at 12:01 a.m. Saturday after last-minute talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed Friday night. Prime Minister Mark Carney responded by suspending negotiations entirely and promising to hit back "dollar for dollar." Unlike the tariff deadline itself, this part isn't happening tonight: Carney says Canada's countermeasures won't take effect until September 8 , and the exact product list is still being finalized. That two-and-a-half week gap matters for your wallet. It's a window where the general shape of the retaliation is known, but the fine print — the specific products, the exact surtax rates, which exemptions get carved out — is still being written in Ottawa. Here's what's confirmed, what history tells us to expect, and how to think about the impact on your own spending. What's confirmed ...

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Canada’s economy continues to sputter in Q4 2023

According to Statistics Canada, Canada’s economy showed no growth in October, remaining unchanged at 0.0% on a monthly basis, which is below analyst expectations of 0.2% growth . This marks the third straight month where economic growth was essentially unchanged. Advance estimates for November showed that GDP increased 0.1% last month, as increases in manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting were partially offset by decreases in retail trade .

The country’s economic engine continued to sputter in the fourth quarter, according to Royce Mendes, Desjardins’ managing director and head of macro strategy. He expects the economy to post “virtually no growth” in the fourth quarter and continue to stagnate. As more households and businesses feel the impacts of higher interest rates in 2024, we expect Canada to fall into at least a mild recession. So while the economy is sputtering now, it might begin rolling backwards early in the new year.


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