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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Canada’s Income Tax Brackets for 2023: A Comprehensive Guide

 

Quickly find your federal and provincial tax brackets to help you prep for your 2023 income tax return.

As we approach the end of the year, it’s important to start thinking about your 2023 income tax return. One of the most important things to understand is which federal and provincial tax brackets your income falls into. This information lets you estimate how much tax you owe on your 2023 income, and helps you figure out whether to increase your registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) contributions, with the aim of reducing your notice of assessment (NOA) balance owing to $0—and maybe even score a refund.

Canada has a progressive tax system instead of a flat system where everyone pays the same percentage. So, here, people with lower incomes pay a lower percentage, and rates increase progressively for higher income earners through different tax brackets. In other words, the more you make, the more tax you pay on your earnings.

Canada has five federal tax brackets with different tax rates, and because we also pay taxes to the provincial or territorial government where we live, they each have their own tax brackets.

Here’s a quick summary of Canada’s federal income tax brackets for 2023:

  • 15% on the first $50,197 of taxable income
  • 20.5% on the next $50,198-$100,394 of taxable income
  • 26% on the next $100,395-$151,978 of taxable income
  • 29% on the next $151,979-$216,511 of taxable income
  • 33% on taxable income over $216,511

It’s important to note that these tax brackets are subject to change from year to year, and the income ranges are usually adjusted annually for inflation.

To figure out your estimated provincial/territorial tax, follow steps similar to those explained above for the federal tax brackets.

Knowing where you fit within the tax brackets can help you anticipate whether you will owe taxes in April or you will receive a tax refund. And if you owe money, it’s better to find out earlier than later. That way you can save up the money ahead of the May 2, 2023, tax payment deadline and avoid having to pay interest and penalties on overdue taxes. (Normally, the payment deadline is April 30, but in 2023 that falls on a Sunday.)


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