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Bank of Canada Rate Decision: What to Expect on June 10

  On Wednesday, June 10, 2026 , the Bank of Canada will announce its next interest rate decision — and every Canadian with a mortgage, a savings account, or a variable-rate line of credit has good reason to pay attention. While a hold at the current 2.25% overnight rate is almost universally expected, the real story this month isn't the number itself. It's the language surrounding it. Canada's economy has slipped into what many are calling a technical recession, inflation is being pushed higher by a global energy shock, and economists are divided on where rates go from here. Here's everything you need to know before Wednesday's announcement. BoC Overnight Rate 2.25% Held since early 2026 Bank Prime Rate 4.45% Most major lenders April CPI Inflation 2.8% Up from 2.4% in March Hike Probability (Jun 10) ~4% Per bond markets Q1 2026 GDP Growth −0.1% Annualized; near-recession Where Things Stand: A Tricky Balancing Act The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2....
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Canadian Housing Starts Plunge 22% in November as Higher Rates Bite



Canadian housing starts fell by 22% in November from the previous month, missing estimates by a wide margin, as higher borrowing costs hurt groundbreaking on multiple unit and single-family detached urban homes, data from the national housing agency showed on Friday.

The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts fell to 212,624 units from a downwardly revised 272,264 units in October, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said. Economists polled by Reuters expected starts to decrease to 257,100 in November.

As the more difficult borrowing conditions and labour shortages now seem to be showing in the starts numbers, we can expect to see continued slower starts rates in the coming months, according to CMHC’s deputy chief economist Kevin Hughes.


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