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5 Things to Know Today: July 9, 2026

Thursday, July 9, 2026   Your quick morning briefing on the Canadian money news that matters. 1. Bank of Canada widely expected to hold rates on July 15 With just a week to go before the Bank of Canada's next rate announcement, markets and economists are almost unanimous: the overnight rate should stay parked at 2.25%, where it's been since October 2025. The Bank is caught between two problems that pull in opposite directions — a soft economy that would normally call for a cut, and inflation running near 2.8-3% (partly due to elevated oil prices) that argues against one. Bond markets are pricing in only a small chance of any move at all. If you're carrying a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC, don't expect relief just yet, but don't expect an increase either. The Bank's updated quarterly Monetary Policy Report, out the same day, will be worth watching for hints about the fall. 2. CUSMA shifts to annual reviews after the deadline quietly passed July 1 came and wen...

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Canadian Housing Starts Plunge 22% in November as Higher Rates Bite



Canadian housing starts fell by 22% in November from the previous month, missing estimates by a wide margin, as higher borrowing costs hurt groundbreaking on multiple unit and single-family detached urban homes, data from the national housing agency showed on Friday.

The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts fell to 212,624 units from a downwardly revised 272,264 units in October, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said. Economists polled by Reuters expected starts to decrease to 257,100 in November.

As the more difficult borrowing conditions and labour shortages now seem to be showing in the starts numbers, we can expect to see continued slower starts rates in the coming months, according to CMHC’s deputy chief economist Kevin Hughes.


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