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Airlines Slash Flights as Jet Fuel Costs Surge, Squeezing Travellers and Markets

  Airlines Slash Flights as Jet Fuel Costs Surge Canadian travellers are facing fewer flight options and higher fares as jet fuel prices spike to multi‑year highs , forcing Air Canada and Air Transat to cut capacity across key routes. The surge in fuel costs is tied directly to the ongoing Iran conflict , which has disrupted global oil flows and pushed energy markets into another period of volatility. Air Transat is reducing service to Europe and the Caribbean, while Air Canada is suspending several regional and international routes it now considers unprofitable. For consumers, this means higher ticket prices, more crowded flights, and fewer choices heading into the summer travel season . Impact on the Economy and Inflation Airlines passing fuel costs to passengers adds fresh pressure to Canada’s already‑stubborn inflation outlook. Travel inflation — which had been easing — is now expected to rise again, complicating the Bank of Canada’s path toward rate cuts. Higher travel costs a...

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Loonie gains as oil prices climb and Fed rate hike seen unlikely

The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Monday as oil prices rose and investors bet that the Federal Reserve would not raise interest rates at a meeting this week.

The loonie was trading 0.2% higher at 1.3565 to the greenback, or 73.74 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3548 to 1.3590. Last week, the currency touched its weakest in nearly five weeks at 1.3599.

Oil prices climbed on Monday, supported by expectations of tighter supply and signs of economic recovery. Canada is a major exporter of crude oil, so the loonie tends to benefit from higher oil prices.

Investors were also looking ahead to the Fed’s policy decision on Wednesday, which is widely expected to deliver a rate hike of 50 basis points, the first since 2018. However, some analysts said the Fed could signal a pause in its tightening cycle amid signs of slowing growth and inflation in the U.S.

“The market is pricing in a very dovish Fed, which is supportive for the Canadian dollar,” said Bipan Rai, North American head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets. “The Fed is likely to acknowledge the downside risks to the outlook and may hint at a slower pace of rate hikes next year.”

Rai said he expected the loonie to strengthen to 1.33 per U.S. dollar by the end of the year, as the Bank of Canada (BoC) maintains its hawkish stance. The BoC has raised its benchmark rate four times this year to 4.25%, the highest in nearly 15 years, and has said it will study the most recent economic data to gauge whether to hike further.

The Canadian dollar was also supported by domestic data that showed the value of building permits rose by 2.5% in October, beating market expectations of a 0.5% decline.

Canadian government bond yields rose across the curve, tracking the move in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year was up 3.4 basis points at 2.916%.

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