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Houthis Signal Readiness for Iran Conflict, Heightening Global Shipping Fears Article

Houthi activists burn US and Israeli flags during a demonstration in solidarity with Iran and Lebanon, in Sanaa, Yemen. Yemen’s Iran‑aligned Houthi movement has declared it is prepared to join the escalating conflict involving Iran, a move that could further destabilize global shipping routes and intensify economic pressures. A senior Houthi figure told Reuters the group is “fully militarily ready with all options,” noting that any decision to act would depend on developments in the wider regional war.  The Houthis, who previously disrupted Red Sea traffic during the Gaza conflict, may once again target the Bab al‑Mandab Strait—one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. The narrow passage connects the Red Sea to the Suez Canal, and renewed attacks could deepen the global oil and trade crisis already triggered by the Middle East conflict. Analysts suggest the group may be waiting for a strategic moment to open a new front in coordination with Iran, especially as the ...

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Loonie gains as oil prices climb and Fed rate hike seen unlikely

The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Monday as oil prices rose and investors bet that the Federal Reserve would not raise interest rates at a meeting this week.

The loonie was trading 0.2% higher at 1.3565 to the greenback, or 73.74 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3548 to 1.3590. Last week, the currency touched its weakest in nearly five weeks at 1.3599.

Oil prices climbed on Monday, supported by expectations of tighter supply and signs of economic recovery. Canada is a major exporter of crude oil, so the loonie tends to benefit from higher oil prices.

Investors were also looking ahead to the Fed’s policy decision on Wednesday, which is widely expected to deliver a rate hike of 50 basis points, the first since 2018. However, some analysts said the Fed could signal a pause in its tightening cycle amid signs of slowing growth and inflation in the U.S.

“The market is pricing in a very dovish Fed, which is supportive for the Canadian dollar,” said Bipan Rai, North American head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets. “The Fed is likely to acknowledge the downside risks to the outlook and may hint at a slower pace of rate hikes next year.”

Rai said he expected the loonie to strengthen to 1.33 per U.S. dollar by the end of the year, as the Bank of Canada (BoC) maintains its hawkish stance. The BoC has raised its benchmark rate four times this year to 4.25%, the highest in nearly 15 years, and has said it will study the most recent economic data to gauge whether to hike further.

The Canadian dollar was also supported by domestic data that showed the value of building permits rose by 2.5% in October, beating market expectations of a 0.5% decline.

Canadian government bond yields rose across the curve, tracking the move in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year was up 3.4 basis points at 2.916%.

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