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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Market Momentum Continues Post-Fed Meeting

 

The financial markets have maintained their upward trajectory following the recent Federal Reserve meeting. Investors have been encouraged by the Fed’s signals of a potential pivot in monetary policy, leading to a rally in both shares and bonds.

  • Global Gains: The MSCI world share index is on track for its seventh consecutive week of gains, a streak not seen in six years. European and Asian markets have also seen significant rises.
  • Fed’s Dovish Stance: The Fed’s dovish outlook, coupled with Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks on the end of tightening measures, has fueled optimism. Markets are now pricing in substantial rate cuts for the coming year.
  • Bond Market Rally: The 10-year Treasury yield has dipped below 4%, with a notable weekly decline, reflecting the largest drop since the early pandemic days in March 2020.
  • Mixed Economic Signals: Despite positive market movements, preliminary PMI data indicates continued challenges in the euro zone economy, potentially questioning the ECB’s current stance.

This sustained market performance highlights investor confidence in the face of changing central bank policies and varied economic indicators.

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