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Mortgage Renewal Shock 2026: What Canadian Homeowners Need to Know

  The Reality: Over 60% of Canadian mortgages are renewing in 2025 and 2026—many at rates significantly higher than their original terms. While some homeowners will see relief, others face payment increases of 15–40%. This guide will help you understand what's happening, run the numbers, and explore your options before your renewal date arrives. The Big Picture: What's Happening in 2026 Canada is experiencing a historic wave of mortgage renewals. A large cohort of mortgages originated during the pandemic's historic low-rate period—when rates hovered around 2% or lower in 2020–2021—are now maturing and resetting at today's rates. The Bank of Canada staff estimate that roughly 60% of outstanding mortgages will renew in 2025 and 2026, making this the most significant renewal cycle in decades. In 2026, the average mortgage renewal increase is projected to moderate to around 6%, though individual experiences vary dramatically depending on mortgage type and renewal timing. W...
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Market Momentum Continues Post-Fed Meeting

 

The financial markets have maintained their upward trajectory following the recent Federal Reserve meeting. Investors have been encouraged by the Fed’s signals of a potential pivot in monetary policy, leading to a rally in both shares and bonds.

  • Global Gains: The MSCI world share index is on track for its seventh consecutive week of gains, a streak not seen in six years. European and Asian markets have also seen significant rises.
  • Fed’s Dovish Stance: The Fed’s dovish outlook, coupled with Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks on the end of tightening measures, has fueled optimism. Markets are now pricing in substantial rate cuts for the coming year.
  • Bond Market Rally: The 10-year Treasury yield has dipped below 4%, with a notable weekly decline, reflecting the largest drop since the early pandemic days in March 2020.
  • Mixed Economic Signals: Despite positive market movements, preliminary PMI data indicates continued challenges in the euro zone economy, potentially questioning the ECB’s current stance.

This sustained market performance highlights investor confidence in the face of changing central bank policies and varied economic indicators.

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