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Iran–U.S. Gulf Strikes Escalate: What It Means for Your Canadian Wallet

  The Persian Gulf is on edge again — and this time, the ripple effects are showing up at Canadian gas pumps and grocery stores. On Wednesday, June 3, Iranian drones struck Kuwait's main airport, temporarily shutting it down and killing one person. The U.S. military struck back, targeting an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz. It is the latest in a series of back-and-forth military exchanges that are pushing a fragile ceasefire to the breaking point. What Is Happening Right Now? Iran's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard confirmed it targeted U.S. military facilities — including the headquarters of the Navy's 5th Fleet in Bahrain — in retaliation for American strikes on Iranian territory. The U.S. responded with strikes on Qeshm Island. Meanwhile, semiofficial Iranian news agencies reported that Tehran has halted communications with ceasefire mediators, saying it wants the fighting in Lebanon resolved before any broader truce can be...

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Oil prices slump to six-month low amid weak demand and oversupply

 


Oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since June, as concerns about weak demand and oversupply weigh on the market. The spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus has led to new travel restrictions and lower economic growth expectations, reducing the outlook for oil consumption. At the same time, oil producers have increased their output, creating a glut of supply that exceeds demand.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 3.6 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks jumped by 5.7 million barrels, indicating sluggish demand for fuel. The EIA also lowered its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 4.1 million bpd.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) echoed the bearish sentiment, saying that the Omicron variant is expected to temporarily slow the recovery in oil demand that is underway. The IEA also cut its demand projections for 2022 and 2023 by 100,000 bpd each, mainly due to the expected impact on jet fuel use from new travel curbs.

Oil prices have also been pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar, which makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The dollar has risen on expectations that the Federal Reserve will tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected to curb inflation, which hit an 11-year high in November.

Brent crude, the international benchmark, settled down $4.42, or 5.9%, at $70.62 a barrel on Wednesday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, dropped $4.60, or 6.2%, to $69.34 a barrel. Both benchmarks have lost more than 10% since hitting multi-year highs in October.

Some analysts expect oil prices to rebound in the coming months, as the impact of the Omicron variant fades and demand recovers. However, others warn that the market could remain volatile and oversupplied, especially if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decide to increase their production further in January.

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