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Bank of Canada Says More Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Canadian Money Brief  |  November 11, 2026 Bank of Canada Says More Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC By the MoneySavings.ca team  •  6 min read The Bank of Canada raised its key rate on October 28, the first increase since 2023. Yesterday it signalled it may not be done. The summary of deliberations, released Tuesday, says Governing Council agreed there could be a need to raise the policy rate further, while taking decisions one meeting at a time. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage or a home equity line of credit (HELOC), that is a headline worth a few minutes. Here is what the Bank said, what another hike would cost, and what you can do before the next decision on December 9 . 2.50% Policy rate since Oct 28 4.70% Big-bank prime since Oct 29 3.5% BoC CPI forecast, end of 2026 Dec 9 Next rate decision What the Bank actually said The core of the story is energy. The Bank notes that the war in the Middle East is in its eig...

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Oil prices slump to six-month low amid weak demand and oversupply

 


Oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since June, as concerns about weak demand and oversupply weigh on the market. The spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus has led to new travel restrictions and lower economic growth expectations, reducing the outlook for oil consumption. At the same time, oil producers have increased their output, creating a glut of supply that exceeds demand.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 3.6 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks jumped by 5.7 million barrels, indicating sluggish demand for fuel. The EIA also lowered its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 4.1 million bpd.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) echoed the bearish sentiment, saying that the Omicron variant is expected to temporarily slow the recovery in oil demand that is underway. The IEA also cut its demand projections for 2022 and 2023 by 100,000 bpd each, mainly due to the expected impact on jet fuel use from new travel curbs.

Oil prices have also been pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar, which makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The dollar has risen on expectations that the Federal Reserve will tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected to curb inflation, which hit an 11-year high in November.

Brent crude, the international benchmark, settled down $4.42, or 5.9%, at $70.62 a barrel on Wednesday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, dropped $4.60, or 6.2%, to $69.34 a barrel. Both benchmarks have lost more than 10% since hitting multi-year highs in October.

Some analysts expect oil prices to rebound in the coming months, as the impact of the Omicron variant fades and demand recovers. However, others warn that the market could remain volatile and oversupplied, especially if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decide to increase their production further in January.

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