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Canada Is In a Recession — What It Means for Your Money

It's official. Canada has entered a technical recession for the first time since 2020 — and it happened faster than almost any economist predicted. Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that the economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter, with Q1 2026 posting a 0.1% annualized contraction, following a 1.0% drop in Q4 2025. Forecasters had been expecting 1.5% growth . The surprise is significant. So what does this actually mean for everyday Canadians? Your job, your mortgage, your savings, your debt — we break it all down. −0.1% Q1 2026 GDP (annualized) −1.0% Q4 2025 GDP (revised down) 2.25% Bank of Canada overnight rate 2.8% Canada inflation rate (April) "Most businesses are basically in a holding pattern, treading water, hoping for brighter days." — Dan Kelly, President, Canadian Federation of Independent Business 📉 Wait — Is This Really a Recession? The term "technical recession" means two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth on an annualized basi...
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Oil prices slump to six-month low amid weak demand and oversupply

 


Oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since June, as concerns about weak demand and oversupply weigh on the market. The spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus has led to new travel restrictions and lower economic growth expectations, reducing the outlook for oil consumption. At the same time, oil producers have increased their output, creating a glut of supply that exceeds demand.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 3.6 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks jumped by 5.7 million barrels, indicating sluggish demand for fuel. The EIA also lowered its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 4.1 million bpd.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) echoed the bearish sentiment, saying that the Omicron variant is expected to temporarily slow the recovery in oil demand that is underway. The IEA also cut its demand projections for 2022 and 2023 by 100,000 bpd each, mainly due to the expected impact on jet fuel use from new travel curbs.

Oil prices have also been pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar, which makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The dollar has risen on expectations that the Federal Reserve will tighten its monetary policy sooner than expected to curb inflation, which hit an 11-year high in November.

Brent crude, the international benchmark, settled down $4.42, or 5.9%, at $70.62 a barrel on Wednesday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, dropped $4.60, or 6.2%, to $69.34 a barrel. Both benchmarks have lost more than 10% since hitting multi-year highs in October.

Some analysts expect oil prices to rebound in the coming months, as the impact of the Omicron variant fades and demand recovers. However, others warn that the market could remain volatile and oversupplied, especially if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decide to increase their production further in January.

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