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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, Oil Spikes, Bigger CCB Cheques Land

  Tuesday, July 14, 2026 Good morning. Here's what Canadians need to know today, from tomorrow's Bank of Canada rate call to a bigger Canada Child Benefit deposit landing next week. 1. Bank of Canada decides tomorrow — a hold is widely expected The Bank of Canada announces its interest rate decision Wednesday, July 15, at 9:45 a.m. ET, alongside its quarterly Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists widely expect the Bank to hold its key rate at 2.25%, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:45 a.m. ET to explain the decision. What it means for you: If you're renewing a mortgage or carrying a variable-rate loan or HELOC, tomorrow's decision likely won't change your payment. But watch the tone of the statement closely — renewed oil-price pressure (see #3) could shape how the Bank talks about inflation risk heading into the fall. 2. U.S. inflation data drops this morning The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its June Consumer Price In...
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S&P 500 Inches Closer to Record High Amid Optimism About Fed’s Policy and Year-End Effect

 

The S&P 500 index closed just shy of a new record high on Thursday, with the broad index gaining 0.04%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.03%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%. Markets are ending 2023 on a hot streak, with all three indexes on pace for a ninth consecutive weekly gain. For the S&P 500, that would mark the longest streak since January 2004. The index is now within 0.3% of its all-time high, set in January 2022. With one trading session remaining in 2023, the S&P 500 is up 25%.

Investors are optimistic that the Federal Reserve can successfully cool inflation without inducing a major economic slowdown, which has powered the market’s recent advance. Now, some investors say the looming end of the calendar year is giving markets an extra boost. “Nobody who has caught this rally wants to incur a taxable event,” said Michael Green, chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management. “If nobody wants to sell, prices will push higher on low volume”.

The jobless claims data released by the Labor Department on Thursday indicated a gradual cooling of the economy. Initial jobless claims, considered a proxy for layoffs, were 218,000 in the week ending Dec. 23, slightly more than the 215,000 that economists expected.

Bond yields rose as prices fell, reflecting expectations of higher inflation and interest rates. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.849%, up from 3.7%.

Some investors are increasing their exposure to energy and industrial stocks, which could benefit from a strong economic recovery. Matt Dmytryszyn, chief investment officer at Telemus Capital, said his fund is boosting its position in shares of energy and industrial firms.


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