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Markets on Edge as Bank of Canada Decides: TSX, Wall Street, and Oil in Focus — June 10, 2026

  All eyes are on Ottawa this morning. The Bank of Canada is set to release its interest rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET today — and while markets widely expect a hold at 2.25% , the accompanying statement from Governor Tiff Macklem will be dissected for any signal about what comes next. Against a backdrop of volatile oil prices, a recent technical recession, and a still-fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire, the stakes are higher than usual. Here's where the major markets stand heading into this pivotal session. 🇨🇦 Canada — TSX & the BoC Decision The S&P/TSX Composite has been navigating choppy waters. After a sharp 2.3% decline on June 5 — triggered by a blowout Canadian jobs report that added 88,000 positions, far exceeding forecasts — the index pulled back to trade near the 34,093 range on Tuesday before recovering somewhat to sit just above 34,500 . That jobs print, combined with a similar U.S. surprise, effectively closed the door on any rate cut hopes and forced a reasse...
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S&P 500 Inches Closer to Record High Amid Optimism About Fed’s Policy and Year-End Effect

 

The S&P 500 index closed just shy of a new record high on Thursday, with the broad index gaining 0.04%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 0.03%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%. Markets are ending 2023 on a hot streak, with all three indexes on pace for a ninth consecutive weekly gain. For the S&P 500, that would mark the longest streak since January 2004. The index is now within 0.3% of its all-time high, set in January 2022. With one trading session remaining in 2023, the S&P 500 is up 25%.

Investors are optimistic that the Federal Reserve can successfully cool inflation without inducing a major economic slowdown, which has powered the market’s recent advance. Now, some investors say the looming end of the calendar year is giving markets an extra boost. “Nobody who has caught this rally wants to incur a taxable event,” said Michael Green, chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management. “If nobody wants to sell, prices will push higher on low volume”.

The jobless claims data released by the Labor Department on Thursday indicated a gradual cooling of the economy. Initial jobless claims, considered a proxy for layoffs, were 218,000 in the week ending Dec. 23, slightly more than the 215,000 that economists expected.

Bond yields rose as prices fell, reflecting expectations of higher inflation and interest rates. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.849%, up from 3.7%.

Some investors are increasing their exposure to energy and industrial stocks, which could benefit from a strong economic recovery. Matt Dmytryszyn, chief investment officer at Telemus Capital, said his fund is boosting its position in shares of energy and industrial firms.


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