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Markets on Edge as Bank of Canada Decides: TSX, Wall Street, and Oil in Focus — June 10, 2026

  All eyes are on Ottawa this morning. The Bank of Canada is set to release its interest rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET today — and while markets widely expect a hold at 2.25% , the accompanying statement from Governor Tiff Macklem will be dissected for any signal about what comes next. Against a backdrop of volatile oil prices, a recent technical recession, and a still-fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire, the stakes are higher than usual. Here's where the major markets stand heading into this pivotal session. 🇨🇦 Canada — TSX & the BoC Decision The S&P/TSX Composite has been navigating choppy waters. After a sharp 2.3% decline on June 5 — triggered by a blowout Canadian jobs report that added 88,000 positions, far exceeding forecasts — the index pulled back to trade near the 34,093 range on Tuesday before recovering somewhat to sit just above 34,500 . That jobs print, combined with a similar U.S. surprise, effectively closed the door on any rate cut hopes and forced a reasse...

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Stocks Rally, Yields Fall on Fed’s Mixed Messages



The stock market rallied and bond yields fell after the Federal Reserve sent mixed messages about its future policy. 

The Federal Reserve is in a “sweet spot” and may start cutting interest rates in the first half of 2024. The rally in the bond market is driving global bonds to their best month since 2008. The Bank of Japan left its policy rate unchanged and appeared in no hurry to remove negative interest rates. The yen slumped as much as 1.1% to the weakest level in a week, while the Nikkei 225 Index rallied 1.4% to a two-week high.


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