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TSX Surges to New Heights, Extending Winning Streak to Nine Days

The Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) continues its impressive rally, closing at yet another record high as its winning streak stretches to nine consecutive trading days. The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index  rose 0.3% , adding 74.4 points  to settle at 25,971.9 .  This latest surge marks a 2.4% weekly gain , reinforcing investor optimism amid strong performances across multiple sectors. Healthcare led the charge with a 1.2% increase , while Basic Materials saw a slight dip of 0.2% .  Market analysts attribute the sustained momentum to robust corporate earnings, stable commodity prices, and easing trade tensions . With 74% of TSX-listed stocks closing higher , the bullish sentiment remains strong, fueling expectations for continued growth in the coming weeks.  Investors will be watching closely to see if the TSX can maintain its upward trajectory and extend its streak into double digits.
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Bank of Canada may trail Fed rate cut as wage growth continues to soar

 

The Bank of Canada may not follow the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates, despite the Canadian economy flirting with recession. This is due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs, which could see the central bank shifting to interest rate cuts after the Federal Reserve. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

The Canadian economy is facing a challenging time, with the Bank of Canada’s 2% inflation target still out of reach. The Bank of Canada may need to take a different approach to the Federal Reserve in order to achieve its goals. Wage growth in Canada is much higher than in the United States, which could make it difficult for the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates. However, analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced. This could help support the Canadian dollar and delay a rebound in the economy, which would disappoint heavily indebted households, many of which are due to renew their mortgages at higher borrowing costs this year.

In conclusion, the Bank of Canada may trail the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates due to high growth in Canadian wages and shelter costs. However, factors peculiar to Canada, such as declining productivity, record levels of immigration, and a relatively unionized workforce, could stand in the way of inflation returning to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target. Wage growth could be slow to ease as collective bargaining agreements lock in multi-year wage settlements. Analysts suggest that there should be more differentiation between the Fed and BoC rate paths than is currently priced.

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