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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada Pension Plan: Everything You Need to Know

 


  • The Canada Pension Plan (CPP) is a monthly, taxable benefit designed to supplement your income during retirement.
  • CPP payments are not automatic — you must apply. To qualify you must: be at least 60 years old and have made at least one valid contribution to the CPP.
  • The amount of your retirement pension depends on different factors, such as the age you decide to start your pension, how much and for how long have you contributed to the CPP, and your average earnings throughout your working life.
  • In 2024, if you commence your pension at the age of 65, the highest monthly payout could be $1,364.60. The typical monthly payment for a new retirement pension initiated at age 65, as of October 2023, stood at $758.32.
  • CPP payments go out every month. The first payment of 2024 took place on January 29.
  • If you’re eligible for Canada’s pension plan, you could qualify for over $1,300 per month.
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