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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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Canada’s Economy at Risk Due to Global Trade Disputes.

 

According to a trade expert, Canada is expected to face a challenging year due to global trade disputes. Mark Warner, principal counsel at MAAW Law, believes that Canada will be caught up in disputes between the United States, its biggest trade partner, and China and “sideswiped” as the U.S. ramps up enforcement of export controls.

The ongoing trade disputes could have a significant impact on Canada’s economy. The country’s relationship with China is already “a mixed-bag,” and the U.S. is expected to increase enforcement of export controls, which could further complicate matters.


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