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5 Things to Know Today: Inflation Data, a Tariff Countdown, and a Big Energy Deal

  August 17, 2026 Inflation data lands this morning, the clock on the U.S. tariff deadline is down to two days, and a long-running provincial energy dispute is about to be settled. Here's what's moving your money today. 1. Today's Inflation Report Could Set the Tone for September Statistics Canada releases July's Consumer Price Index this morning. Economists are expecting the annual rate to tick up to roughly 2.9%, from 2.8% in June, mainly because gasoline prices swung higher again in July after the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices back up. Core inflation measures, which the Bank of Canada watches most closely, aren't expected to move much. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print would make it less likely the Bank of Canada cuts rates at its September 2 meeting, which matters if you're renewing a variable-rate mortgage or carrying a line of credit. A softer number keeps a cut on the table. 2. The Tariff Deadline Is Two Days Away, and Talks Are...

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Canada’s Economy at Risk Due to Global Trade Disputes.

 

According to a trade expert, Canada is expected to face a challenging year due to global trade disputes. Mark Warner, principal counsel at MAAW Law, believes that Canada will be caught up in disputes between the United States, its biggest trade partner, and China and “sideswiped” as the U.S. ramps up enforcement of export controls.

The ongoing trade disputes could have a significant impact on Canada’s economy. The country’s relationship with China is already “a mixed-bag,” and the U.S. is expected to increase enforcement of export controls, which could further complicate matters.


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