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Canada Holds Steady: Interest Rate Pause Signals Cautious Confidence

                      The Bank of Canada also held its policy rate at its last scheduled rate announcement in December. The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate at 2.25% , a move that underscores a careful balancing act as the country approaches a pivotal moment in North American trade relations. With CUSMA (the Canada‑United States‑Mexico Agreement) negotiations on the horizon, policymakers appear intent on maintaining stability while assessing potential economic turbulence. The decision reflects a mix of optimism and prudence. Inflation has been easing gradually, giving the central bank some breathing room. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and the high stakes of upcoming trade talks mean officials are reluctant to introduce new variables into the financial system. By holding the rate steady, the Bank of Canada signals confidence in the economy’s underlying resilience while acknowledgin...
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Canadian tech stocks expected to deliver healthy returns in 2024, RBC says


The Canadian technology sector had a stellar performance in 2023, outperforming the broader market and delivering the highest returns since 2020. However, RBC Dominion Securities analysts Paul Treiber and Maxim Matushansky believe that the sector still has room to grow in 2024, albeit at a more moderate pace.

In a report released on Thursday, the analysts said that they expect healthy returns to be more widespread across Canadian tech stocks in 2024 than 2023, driven by three main factors: 1) valuation multiples for many Canadian tech stocks may rise in 2024; 2) organic growth and profitability may improve through 2024; and 3) the Consolidators, such as Constellation Software, CGI Group and Open Text, are likely to continue to create shareholder value through acquisitions.

The analysts noted that the valuation of the average stock in their coverage universe is below historical averages and peer group averages, and that a decline in interest rates could boost the discounted cash flow valuation of the sector. They also pointed out that most of the companies in their coverage are expected to be profitable in 2024, and that some of them may see growth stabilization or improvement as the pandemic-related headwinds ease.

The analysts also highlighted the potential of the Consolidators, which are disciplined allocators of capital that tend to find value in out of favour companies and have the capital to deploy in periods of financial or economic duress. They said that while Constellation and OpenText deployed record amounts of capital on acquisitions in 2023, they expect the other consolidators to deploy more capital on acquisitions in 2024 than 2023.

The analysts’ top five Canadian technology ideas for 2024 are: Constellation Software, Shopify, Kinaxis, Open Text and Calian Group.

The report also covered some of the other analyst actions on Thursday, such as target price adjustments for stocks in the software and services, mining and energy sectors. Some of the notable changes include: RBC’s upgrade of Alamos Gold to “outperform” from “sector perform”; CIBC’s upgrade of Aritzia to “outperformer” from “neutral”; and JP Morgan’s increase of its target price for Canadian Natural Resources to $102 from $101.

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