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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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New Tax Measures in 2024


The Canadian government has introduced new tax measures that will affect Canadians in 2024. These measures include the elimination of some short-term rental deductions, new alternative minimum tax rates, and changes to Canada Pension Plan (CPP) contributions. The elimination of some short-term rental deductions was announced in the Fall Economic Statement (FES) and kicks in on Jan. 1. The federal government is now eliminating that tax break, denying operators of short-term rentals any income tax deductions for expenses if they operate in provinces or municipalities that have banned short-term rentals. In provinces that still allow short-term rentals, operators that are not compliant with local regulations and laws will also be denied the deduction.

The GST/HST exemptions will also be affected. The federal government announced it was taking the GST/HST off “professional services rendered by psychotherapists and counselling therapists.”

These changes are not expected to have a significant impact on most individuals, unless they’re high-income earners.

    

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