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BoC Set to Hike Into a Weak Economy: What It Means for You

  Canadian Money Brief • Feature Monday, October 26, 2026 • Written ahead of the 9:45 a.m. ET decision on Wednesday, Oct. 28 The Bank of Canada is about to do something that looks backwards. Jobs are disappearing, the housing market is sluggish, and yet money markets and most economists expect the central bank to raise its key rate on Wednesday. If it happens, your budget gets squeezed from two directions at once: higher borrowing costs and a shakier job market. The short version • Expected move: +0.25 point to 2.50% on Oct. 28, up from 2.25% • Reuters poll: 56% of economists (19 of 34) call for a hike, and a majority see one more by end of March • Why now: energy-driven inflation (3.1% in September) and a bank worried it spreads • The catch: 68,300 jobs lost in September , unemployment at 6.5% Why would the bank hike when the economy is wobbling? Reuters reports the Bank of Canada is expected to raise its rate as a pre-emptive strike: the goal is to stop an oil-driven jump in p...

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Oil Market in for Uncomfortable Few Weeks After Drone Strike

 


On January 29, 2024, a drone strike killed three US soldiers in the Middle East, escalating regional conflicts and irritating oil markets. The attack’s near-term impact on oil supply is expected to be limited, but the situation is still volatile. Prosper Trading Academy CEO Scott Bauer and Eurasia Group Middle East Practice Head Ayham Kamel warn that this is not going to be a comfortable few weeks.

The oil market is already on its heels due to weak demand. Though geopolitical tensions could move prices, the impact appears muted as risks are already priced in. Bauer sees crude oil in a bearish macro position and is enthusiastic about the current volatility for traders, suggesting investors look to sell.

In conclusion, the drone strike has created an uncomfortable situation for the oil market. While the attack’s near-term impact on oil supply is expected to be limited, the situation is still volatile and could lead to further disruptions in the future.

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