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Daily Markets Update: Oil Rattles TSX Ahead of BoC Hike Week | Oct 26

  Canadian Money Brief • Daily Markets Update Monday, October 26, 2026 • Covers Friday’s North American and European closes plus Monday’s Asian session Oil took over from AI as the market’s main worry on Friday. Crude jumped above US$100 on fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia, the S&P/TSX Composite finished the week lower, and Wall Street logged a second straight weekly loss for the S&P 500. Monday brought a small reprieve: oil slipped after no weekend escalation in the Iran war, and most Asian and European markets steadied — just ahead of a week stacked with central bank decisions, including the Bank of Canada on Wednesday. The 30-second version TSX: 35,788.18 , down 185.27 points (−0.52%) Friday; −1.07% on the week. Wall Street: Dow −1.2%, S&P 500 −0.5%, Nasdaq −0.2%. Oil: WTI settled at US$103.27 ; Brent at US$116.72 . Loonie: 71.46¢ US , a five-week high. Bank of Canada: markets price roughly an 80% chance of a hike to 2.50% on Wednesday. Canada: TSX Ends the Week in the...
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Oil Market in for Uncomfortable Few Weeks After Drone Strike

 


On January 29, 2024, a drone strike killed three US soldiers in the Middle East, escalating regional conflicts and irritating oil markets. The attack’s near-term impact on oil supply is expected to be limited, but the situation is still volatile. Prosper Trading Academy CEO Scott Bauer and Eurasia Group Middle East Practice Head Ayham Kamel warn that this is not going to be a comfortable few weeks.

The oil market is already on its heels due to weak demand. Though geopolitical tensions could move prices, the impact appears muted as risks are already priced in. Bauer sees crude oil in a bearish macro position and is enthusiastic about the current volatility for traders, suggesting investors look to sell.

In conclusion, the drone strike has created an uncomfortable situation for the oil market. While the attack’s near-term impact on oil supply is expected to be limited, the situation is still volatile and could lead to further disruptions in the future.

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