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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Quick Beef Pho

 

Ingredients:

  • 1 large onion, peeled and quartered
  • 4 cups low-sodium beef broth
  • 4 cups low-sodium chicken broth
  • 2 cups water
  • 2 tablespoons fish sauce
  • 1 (2-inch) piece fresh ginger, peeled and sliced into 1/4-inch rounds
  • 1 cinnamon stick
  • 1 tablespoon sugar
  • 2 star anise pods
  • 4 whole cloves
  • 8 ounces rice noodles
  • 8 ounces beef sirloin, sliced as thinly as possible
  • Bean sprouts, cilantro, lime wedges, hoisin sauce, and sriracha sauce, for serving

Instructions:

  1. Slice one of the onion quarters as thin as possible; set aside.
  2. In a large pot, combine the remaining 3 onion quarters, beef broth, chicken broth, water, fish sauce, ginger, cinnamon, sugar, star anise, and cloves.
  3. Bring to a boil, then reduce the heat to medium-low and simmer, uncovered, for 30 minutes.
  4. Meanwhile, bring a large pot of water to a boil. Off the heat, add the noodles. Let sit, stirring regularly to prevent sticking, until the noodles are soft and pliable but still not tender, 5 to 10 minutes.
  5. Drain and rinse well with cold water. Set aside.
  6. Over a large bowl, strain the broth through a fine mesh strainer. Discard the solids and pour the clear broth back into the pot. (Alternatively, you can use a fine mesh spider to fish out the solids.)
  7. Bring the broth to a boil.
  8. Add the noodles and cook until just tender, 30 seconds to 1 minute.
  9. Using tongs or a spider, lift the noodles from the pot and divide evenly into bowls.
  10. Reduce the heat to a simmer and add the sliced beef to the broth; let simmer until no longer pink, about 1 minute.
  11. Using a slotted spoon or spider, remove the beef from the broth and divide between the bowls. Ladle the hot broth over the noodles and beef.
  12. Top each bowl with the reserved thinly sliced onions, bean sprouts, and cilantro. Pass lime wedges, hoisin sauce, and sriracha sauce at the table.


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