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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Quick Beef Pho

 

Ingredients:

  • 1 large onion, peeled and quartered
  • 4 cups low-sodium beef broth
  • 4 cups low-sodium chicken broth
  • 2 cups water
  • 2 tablespoons fish sauce
  • 1 (2-inch) piece fresh ginger, peeled and sliced into 1/4-inch rounds
  • 1 cinnamon stick
  • 1 tablespoon sugar
  • 2 star anise pods
  • 4 whole cloves
  • 8 ounces rice noodles
  • 8 ounces beef sirloin, sliced as thinly as possible
  • Bean sprouts, cilantro, lime wedges, hoisin sauce, and sriracha sauce, for serving

Instructions:

  1. Slice one of the onion quarters as thin as possible; set aside.
  2. In a large pot, combine the remaining 3 onion quarters, beef broth, chicken broth, water, fish sauce, ginger, cinnamon, sugar, star anise, and cloves.
  3. Bring to a boil, then reduce the heat to medium-low and simmer, uncovered, for 30 minutes.
  4. Meanwhile, bring a large pot of water to a boil. Off the heat, add the noodles. Let sit, stirring regularly to prevent sticking, until the noodles are soft and pliable but still not tender, 5 to 10 minutes.
  5. Drain and rinse well with cold water. Set aside.
  6. Over a large bowl, strain the broth through a fine mesh strainer. Discard the solids and pour the clear broth back into the pot. (Alternatively, you can use a fine mesh spider to fish out the solids.)
  7. Bring the broth to a boil.
  8. Add the noodles and cook until just tender, 30 seconds to 1 minute.
  9. Using tongs or a spider, lift the noodles from the pot and divide evenly into bowls.
  10. Reduce the heat to a simmer and add the sliced beef to the broth; let simmer until no longer pink, about 1 minute.
  11. Using a slotted spoon or spider, remove the beef from the broth and divide between the bowls. Ladle the hot broth over the noodles and beef.
  12. Top each bowl with the reserved thinly sliced onions, bean sprouts, and cilantro. Pass lime wedges, hoisin sauce, and sriracha sauce at the table.


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