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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Tips for building your 2024 investment plan


As we enter the new year, it’s a good time to reevaluate your investment strategies and prepare for the evolving market conditions. Here are some tips to help you build a successful investment plan for 2024:

  • Reevaluate your investment strategies: Experts suggest that now is a good time to reevaluate your investment strategies and prepare for the evolving market conditions. Although Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has said it is too early to consider rate cuts, the central bank could begin cutting interest rates as early as April or May, according to forecasts from TD. Falling interest rates will be the story of 2024, so it’s important to invest accordingly.
  • Consider low-cost dividend-focused index funds: Investing in low-cost dividend-focused index funds can help you generate passive income at a low cost for life.
  • Be cautious with GICs: Last year, many investors chose to park money in savings or a short-term Guaranteed Investment Certificate (GIC), earning risk-free returns of 5 per cent or more. Although it was an effective strategy in a high-interest-rate environment, GIC rates are already falling, and completely opposite market forces are starting to take shape. Canadians looking to simply protect their cash in 2024 could be in for a “rough year,” potentially missing out on greater gains elsewhere.
  • Prepare for the evolving market conditions: With the market conditions evolving, it’s important to prepare for the changes. Falling interest rates will be the story of 2024, so it’s important to invest accordingly.


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