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5 Things to Know Today — June 16, 2026

1 TSX Surges 1% on US-Iran Peace Deal The S&P/TSX Composite Index surged 1% to a record 35,276 on Monday following news of a preliminary US-Iran peace agreement. Bank stocks led the rally—RBC, TD, and BMO all advanced strongly—while mining shares gained as gold prices rose. Energy stocks fell sharply as oil prices sank on expectations of renewed supply flows from the Middle East. 2 Bank of Canada's Rate Hold Still in Focus Markets continue to assess the June 10 BoC decision to hold the overnight rate at 2.25%. Economists are watching for signs of inflation stability in upcoming CPI data before any potential rate cuts later this year. Fixed mortgage rates remain elevated, keeping the renewal crisis front and centre for Canadian households. 3 Canada-US Dollar Weakens Near 1.40 The Canadian dollar weakened to around 1.40 USD/CAD as the loonie remains under pressure from soft domestic growth and US trade policy uncertainty. The BoC's measured rate-hold stance is being counte...

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TSX rises as energy and consumer staples lead




The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 71.66 points, or 0.3%, at 21,061.88 on Monday, approaching its 20-month high of 21,074.91 reached last week. The energy and consumer staples sectors were the main drivers of the gains, as oil prices recovered some of their losses and investors digested a Bank of Canada business survey.

The survey showed that Canadian firms saw their order books decline as interest rates crimped consumer spending, and they expected inflation to ease despite increased concerns over wages for the next year. The report could keep the door open for interest rate cuts in the first half of the year, according to some economists.

The energy sector rose 0.9% as U.S. crude oil futures settled at $72.50 a barrel, down 0.3%. The consumer staples sector added 0.8%, boosted by shares of Saputo Inc and Loblaw Co, which climbed about 1.6% and 1.5%, respectively. The utilities sector also ended 1.1% higher.

Trading volumes were lower than usual, with U.S. markets closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday. On Tuesday, Canada will release its consumer price index report for December, which could offer more clues on the central bank’s policy outlook. Economists expect inflation to rise to 3.4% from 3.1% in November.

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