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Bank of Canada Holds the Line as Global Turmoil Clouds Outlook

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a press conference in Ottawa on September 17, 2025 The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate steady at 2.25%, a decision that reflects the delicate balancing act policymakers face as global uncertainty intensifies. With inflationary pressures rising and economic growth showing signs of strain, the central bank is navigating a narrow path shaped by forces largely outside its control. A major driver of the current tension is the surge in oil prices triggered by ongoing geopolitical conflict. Higher energy costs are feeding into broader inflation, raising concerns that price pressures could become more persistent. At the same time, elevated borrowing costs and weakening consumer confidence are weighing on domestic economic momentum. By holding the rate, the Bank of Canada signals caution: it aims to avoid stifling growth while still keeping inflation expectations anchored. The central bank emphasized that it rema...

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UK Bonds Experience Worst Start to a Year on Record

 


UK bonds have experienced the worst start to a year on record, following an unexpected surge in inflation. 

The Bloomberg Sterling Aggregate Bond Index is down over 3% this month, more than any other sovereign market. The UK isn’t the only place where investors are rethinking their aggressive bets on interest-rate reductions. Traders in the US and Europe have also moderated their expectations. 

The turbulence in the bond market has brought home how vulnerable markets are. The Bank of England is now caught between a rock and a hard place, as the clear path the market was painting for a steady reduction in interest rates this year may have to be re-visited .


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