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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Wall Street gains as Treasury market stabilizes, US government averts shutdown

 

On Friday, Wall Street saw gains as the Treasury market stabilized and the US government averted a shutdown. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.88% to 4,780.94 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.54% to 37,468.61 points. The Nasdaq 100 index also rose by 1.47% to 16,982.29 points.

The US government avoided a partial shutdown, which helped stabilize the Treasury market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury steadied at 4.14%.

This is good news for investors, as the stock market continues to recoup the week’s earlier losses. The gains are expected to continue as companies continue to turn in better profits for the summer than expected.


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