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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Wall Street gains as Treasury market stabilizes, US government averts shutdown

 

On Friday, Wall Street saw gains as the Treasury market stabilized and the US government averted a shutdown. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.88% to 4,780.94 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.54% to 37,468.61 points. The Nasdaq 100 index also rose by 1.47% to 16,982.29 points.

The US government avoided a partial shutdown, which helped stabilize the Treasury market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury steadied at 4.14%.

This is good news for investors, as the stock market continues to recoup the week’s earlier losses. The gains are expected to continue as companies continue to turn in better profits for the summer than expected.


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