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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street gains as Treasury market stabilizes, US government averts shutdown

 

On Friday, Wall Street saw gains as the Treasury market stabilized and the US government averted a shutdown. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.88% to 4,780.94 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.54% to 37,468.61 points. The Nasdaq 100 index also rose by 1.47% to 16,982.29 points.

The US government avoided a partial shutdown, which helped stabilize the Treasury market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury steadied at 4.14%.

This is good news for investors, as the stock market continues to recoup the week’s earlier losses. The gains are expected to continue as companies continue to turn in better profits for the summer than expected.


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