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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Yemeni Houthi Rebel Attacks on Ships in the Red Sea Disrupt Global Trade

 

The Yemeni Houthi rebel attacks on ships in the Red Sea have been causing significant disruptions to global trade. The Houthis, who are backed by Iran, have been targeting commercial ships in the region with drones and anti-ship missiles. 

The attacks have escalated since the start of the Israel-Hamas war in October 2023. The Red Sea is a crucial maritime artery for consumer goods and energy supplies, with 40% of Asia-Europe trade normally flowing through the area. The attacks have rerouted most of the trade normally flowing through the Red Sea, delaying shipments and raising transport costs. The impact of the attacks has been felt worldwide, with electric car maker Tesla announcing that it had to shut down its factory outside Berlin due to delays in supply chains.

In response to the growing impact on global trade, the United States and a host of other nations have created a new force to protect ships. The Biden administration has set up a 10-nation naval task force to protect ships traveling along this important route. Some of the world’s largest container shipping companies and oil giant BP have been sending vessels on longer journeys that bypass the Red Sea.


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