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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Yemeni Houthi Rebel Attacks on Ships in the Red Sea Disrupt Global Trade

 

The Yemeni Houthi rebel attacks on ships in the Red Sea have been causing significant disruptions to global trade. The Houthis, who are backed by Iran, have been targeting commercial ships in the region with drones and anti-ship missiles. 

The attacks have escalated since the start of the Israel-Hamas war in October 2023. The Red Sea is a crucial maritime artery for consumer goods and energy supplies, with 40% of Asia-Europe trade normally flowing through the area. The attacks have rerouted most of the trade normally flowing through the Red Sea, delaying shipments and raising transport costs. The impact of the attacks has been felt worldwide, with electric car maker Tesla announcing that it had to shut down its factory outside Berlin due to delays in supply chains.

In response to the growing impact on global trade, the United States and a host of other nations have created a new force to protect ships. The Biden administration has set up a 10-nation naval task force to protect ships traveling along this important route. Some of the world’s largest container shipping companies and oil giant BP have been sending vessels on longer journeys that bypass the Red Sea.


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