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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Yemen’s Houthi Rebels Launch Missile at U.S. Warship in Gulf of Aden

 


Yemen’s Houthi rebels have launched a missile at a U.S. warship patrolling the Gulf of Aden, forcing it to shoot down the projectile. This marks a further escalation in the biggest confrontation at sea the U.S. Navy has seen in the Middle East in decades. 

The attack on the destroyer USS Carney is the first time the Houthis directly targeted a U.S. warship since the rebels began their attacks on shipping in October. The missile was successfully shot down by USS Carney, and there were no injuries or damage reported.

The conflict in the Middle East has been escalating for years, and this recent attack is a reminder of the ongoing tensions in the region. The U.S. Navy has been involved in the Middle East for decades, and this latest attack highlights the dangers that sailors face while patrolling the region’s waters.


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