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5 Things to Know Today: Canada’s CPI, Alberta’s Vote and Oil Near $100 (Oct. 18)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 18, 2026 Markets are closed, but Monday is packed: Canada's September inflation reading, a high-stakes Alberta referendum and a Bank of Canada decision just ten days away. Here are the five things that matter for your wallet today. 1. Canada's September CPI lands Monday, 9 days before the BoC decision Statistics Canada releases September inflation Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET. A Reuters/LSEG poll of economists expects 3.2% (up from 3.0% in August); TD also sees 3.2%, while RBC expects 3.0% for a third straight month. Core inflation is expected to stay soft, around 1.8%-1.9%. The Bank of Canada also publishes its Business Outlook Survey Monday, and the policy rate (2.25%) is decided Oct. 28. What it means for you: A hot core number would raise odds of a hike, which hits variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs first. A soft core number with headline driven by gas supports the "hold" camp. 2. Alberta votes Monday on ten referendum questio...
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Bankruptcies Surge in Canada Amid Economic Challenges

 

In a year marked by financial turbulence, business insolvencies in Canada have reached unprecedented levels. According to data from the federal Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy, 2023 witnessed the highest number of business insolvencies in 36 years of recorded history. The surge was particularly pronounced, with filings rising 35% in the fourth quarter compared to the previous quarter and more than doubling compared to the same period a year ago.

Key Points:

  1. Record High: The total number of businesses filing for insolvency was the highest in 13 years.
  2. Mainly Bankruptcies: The rise was primarily driven by bankruptcies rather than renegotiations of terms.
  3. Hardest-Hit Sectors: Accommodation and food services, retail, and construction experienced the most significant impact.
  4. Financial Challenges: Businesses grappled with rising input costs, wage expenses, and debt servicing costs throughout the pandemic.
  5. Debt Burden: Debt taken on during the pandemic has left some Canadian businesses unviable or in need of debt restructuring.
  6. Government Loans: Business owners who couldn’t repay government pandemic loans (such as CEBA) by the January 19 deadline now face interest charges and monthly payments.

Economic Outlook:

  • Interest Rate Pressure: The additional costs of servicing debts due to higher interest rates may strain businesses already on a precarious edge.
  • Consumer Spending Decline: The weakening economy has also impacted consumer spending, further adding pressure to businesses’ bottom line.
  • Room for Recovery: Some businesses may struggle to manage increased monthly bills, especially if sales remain challenging.

As the Canadian economy navigates these challenges, businesses face a critical juncture. The road to recovery will require resilience, adaptability, and strategic financial management.


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