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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

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Canada’s Labour Market Sees Positive Growth: 37,300 New Jobs Added

 

In a welcome development for the Canadian economy, the labour market added 37,300 jobs in January. This surge in employment comes as a breath of fresh air, especially considering the challenges posed by the pandemic and economic fluctuations.

Key Highlights:

  1. Unemployment Rate Declines: The unemployment rate dipped to 5.7 per cent, marking the first decline since December 2022. This positive trend signals a potential recovery and renewed confidence in the job market.

  2. Part-Time Work on the Rise: The increase in jobs was primarily driven by a surge in part-time employment, which saw a gain of 48,900 positions. However, the number of full-time jobs experienced a slight decline of 11,600 during the same period.

  3. Economic Resilience: Despite global uncertainties, Canada’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience. The labour force’s adaptability and employers’ willingness to hire contribute to this encouraging trend.

As we move forward, it’s essential to monitor these developments closely. While the current data paints an optimistic picture, sustained efforts are necessary to ensure stable and inclusive growth.



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