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Daily Markets Update: TSX Holds Near Highs as Wall Street Reopens - July 6, 2026

  Monday, July 6, 2026 | Canada's benchmark index closed out last week just shy of a fresh record, and Wall Street is back in action today after Friday's Independence Day holiday closure. Here's everything Canadian investors need to know about global markets this morning. 🇨🇦 Canada: TSX Closes Higher, Just Off Its 52-Week High The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed Friday, July 3 at 35,274.84 , up 308.17 points (+0.88%) . That leaves the index within about 350 points of its 52-week high of 35,629.89, set earlier this summer. Since Canadian markets were closed over the weekend, Friday's print remains the most recent TSX close heading into today's session. The loonie remains under pressure. USD/CAD was trading near 1.421 this morning, keeping the Canadian dollar close to its weakest levels of the past year. Higher-for-longer U.S. rate expectations and softer Canadian growth data have been the main drags, though a pullback in oil prices has also limited support for...
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Canadian Banks Face Earnings Challenges Amid Commodity Slump

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index tumbled on Wednesday, tracking a decline in commodity prices. Investors are closely monitoring big bank earnings in Canada and awaiting key inflation data from the United States. Here are the key points:

  1. Market Movement:

    • March futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 6:52 a.m. ET, mirroring losses in Wall Street peers.
    • The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended slightly lower on Tuesday, with financial shares offsetting gains in energy.

  2. Energy and Materials Sectors:

    • Energy shares are expected to reverse gains due to a 1% decline in oil prices. The prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts and a rise in U.S. crude stocks counterbalances the boost from a potential extension to OPEC+ supply curbs.
    • Materials stocks may extend losses as gold prices edge down, influenced by a stronger dollar, and concerns persist about China’s property sector affecting copper prices.

  3. Bank Earnings:

    • Investors continue to analyze quarterly earnings from Canadian banks:
      • Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) reported a lower first-quarter profit due to larger provisions for loans.
      • National Bank of Canada reported a higher first-quarter profit, cushioned by robust performance in its financial markets unit despite increased loan loss provisions.

  4. Inflation and GDP Data:

    • The U.S. is set to release its gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q4 2023, along with the personal consumption expenditures price index, a key measure of inflation.
    • Investors are also awaiting Canada’s GDP reading.

  5. Commodities Snapshot:

    • Gold futures: $2,036.4 (-0.4%).
    • U.S. crude: $78.1 (-1.0%).
    • Brent crude: $82.95 (-0.8%).

The outlook for Canadian banks in 2024 remains uncertain, with mortgage rates and interest rates playing a pivotal role. Unless there are rate cuts, most Canadian banks are expected to report earnings declines. As investors navigate these headwinds, the path forward hinges on economic data and central bank decisions.

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