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The Bank of Canada Warns of Higher Inflation: What It Means for Your Money

  The Bank of Canada Warns of Higher Inflation: What It Means for Your Money October 29, 2026 | Canadian Money Brief Canadians could face another year of rising living costs. Here's how to protect your savings, manage your grocery bill and make smarter financial decisions. If you thought inflation was finally becoming yesterday's problem, the Bank of Canada's latest forecast delivers an important reminder: the cost of living could remain under pressure well into next year. In its October 28, 2026, Monetary Policy Report, the Bank of Canada warned that inflation is expected to remain above 3% through much of 2027 before gradually returning close to its 2% target by the middle of 2028. Higher energy prices, rising import costs and trade uncertainty are contributing to the outlook. The Bank also raised its overnight policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.50% in an effort to contain inflationary pressures. For Canadian households, the message is clear: even if inflation eve...
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Canadian Banks Face Earnings Challenges Amid Commodity Slump

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index tumbled on Wednesday, tracking a decline in commodity prices. Investors are closely monitoring big bank earnings in Canada and awaiting key inflation data from the United States. Here are the key points:

  1. Market Movement:

    • March futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 6:52 a.m. ET, mirroring losses in Wall Street peers.
    • The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended slightly lower on Tuesday, with financial shares offsetting gains in energy.

  2. Energy and Materials Sectors:

    • Energy shares are expected to reverse gains due to a 1% decline in oil prices. The prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts and a rise in U.S. crude stocks counterbalances the boost from a potential extension to OPEC+ supply curbs.
    • Materials stocks may extend losses as gold prices edge down, influenced by a stronger dollar, and concerns persist about China’s property sector affecting copper prices.

  3. Bank Earnings:

    • Investors continue to analyze quarterly earnings from Canadian banks:
      • Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) reported a lower first-quarter profit due to larger provisions for loans.
      • National Bank of Canada reported a higher first-quarter profit, cushioned by robust performance in its financial markets unit despite increased loan loss provisions.

  4. Inflation and GDP Data:

    • The U.S. is set to release its gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q4 2023, along with the personal consumption expenditures price index, a key measure of inflation.
    • Investors are also awaiting Canada’s GDP reading.

  5. Commodities Snapshot:

    • Gold futures: $2,036.4 (-0.4%).
    • U.S. crude: $78.1 (-1.0%).
    • Brent crude: $82.95 (-0.8%).

The outlook for Canadian banks in 2024 remains uncertain, with mortgage rates and interest rates playing a pivotal role. Unless there are rate cuts, most Canadian banks are expected to report earnings declines. As investors navigate these headwinds, the path forward hinges on economic data and central bank decisions.

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