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Fixed vs. Variable Mortgages in Canada: Which Should You Choose Right Now?

  Mortgages | Personal Finance | June 2026 Variable rates sit at 3.30% while fixed rates have climbed above 4%. The Bank of Canada is frozen between inflation and recession. Here's what that means for your mortgage decision today. By MoneySavings.ca Staff  |   June 26, 2026 📊 Today's Best Mortgage Rates — June 26, 2026 Type Term Lowest Rate (Broker) Big Bank Range Variable 5-Year ~3.30% ~3.50–4.00% Fixed (Insured) 5-Year ~4.04% ~4.50–5.20% Fixed (Conventional) 5-Year ~3.94% Higher Bank of Canada Policy Rate 2.25%  |  Prime Rate: 4.45% Sources: NerdWallet Canada, Ratehub.ca, WOWA.ca, bestrates.ca. Rates as of June 26, 2026. Broker rates require qualification; Big Bank rates are estimates. Your actual rate depends on your credit score, down payment, and mortgage type. If you're buying a home, renewing a mortgage, or simply trying to make sense of an unusually complex rate environment, you've arrived at the right question at a complicated moment. The Canadian...
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Canadian Banks Face Earnings Challenges Amid Commodity Slump

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index tumbled on Wednesday, tracking a decline in commodity prices. Investors are closely monitoring big bank earnings in Canada and awaiting key inflation data from the United States. Here are the key points:

  1. Market Movement:

    • March futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 6:52 a.m. ET, mirroring losses in Wall Street peers.
    • The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended slightly lower on Tuesday, with financial shares offsetting gains in energy.

  2. Energy and Materials Sectors:

    • Energy shares are expected to reverse gains due to a 1% decline in oil prices. The prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts and a rise in U.S. crude stocks counterbalances the boost from a potential extension to OPEC+ supply curbs.
    • Materials stocks may extend losses as gold prices edge down, influenced by a stronger dollar, and concerns persist about China’s property sector affecting copper prices.

  3. Bank Earnings:

    • Investors continue to analyze quarterly earnings from Canadian banks:
      • Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) reported a lower first-quarter profit due to larger provisions for loans.
      • National Bank of Canada reported a higher first-quarter profit, cushioned by robust performance in its financial markets unit despite increased loan loss provisions.

  4. Inflation and GDP Data:

    • The U.S. is set to release its gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q4 2023, along with the personal consumption expenditures price index, a key measure of inflation.
    • Investors are also awaiting Canada’s GDP reading.

  5. Commodities Snapshot:

    • Gold futures: $2,036.4 (-0.4%).
    • U.S. crude: $78.1 (-1.0%).
    • Brent crude: $82.95 (-0.8%).

The outlook for Canadian banks in 2024 remains uncertain, with mortgage rates and interest rates playing a pivotal role. Unless there are rate cuts, most Canadian banks are expected to report earnings declines. As investors navigate these headwinds, the path forward hinges on economic data and central bank decisions.

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