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Oil Just Hit $110 — Could Canada's Energy Boom Offset the Tariff Pain?

  Published September 13, 2026 · 6 min read Brent crude touched nearly $110 US a barrel when trading opened Friday morning — its highest level since the spring — as renewed Iran-linked strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure rattled global supply. It settled back down to close the week around $104.61, but the direction of travel has been unmistakable: oil is up roughly 9-10% in the past week alone. That's bad news at the pump. But according to a CBC News analysis published this morning, it might not be bad news for Canada's economy overall. The argument: the roughly 0.5% hit to GDP from Trump's tariffs could be more than offset by the windfall Canada earns as one of the world's biggest oil exporters. For a personal finance reader, that's really two separate stories — one that costs you money, and one that might be quietly making some of your money back. Here's how to think about both sides of your own ledger. Why oil is spiking again The latest leg up traces to ...
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Canadian Banks Face Earnings Challenges Amid Commodity Slump

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index tumbled on Wednesday, tracking a decline in commodity prices. Investors are closely monitoring big bank earnings in Canada and awaiting key inflation data from the United States. Here are the key points:

  1. Market Movement:

    • March futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 6:52 a.m. ET, mirroring losses in Wall Street peers.
    • The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended slightly lower on Tuesday, with financial shares offsetting gains in energy.

  2. Energy and Materials Sectors:

    • Energy shares are expected to reverse gains due to a 1% decline in oil prices. The prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts and a rise in U.S. crude stocks counterbalances the boost from a potential extension to OPEC+ supply curbs.
    • Materials stocks may extend losses as gold prices edge down, influenced by a stronger dollar, and concerns persist about China’s property sector affecting copper prices.

  3. Bank Earnings:

    • Investors continue to analyze quarterly earnings from Canadian banks:
      • Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) reported a lower first-quarter profit due to larger provisions for loans.
      • National Bank of Canada reported a higher first-quarter profit, cushioned by robust performance in its financial markets unit despite increased loan loss provisions.

  4. Inflation and GDP Data:

    • The U.S. is set to release its gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q4 2023, along with the personal consumption expenditures price index, a key measure of inflation.
    • Investors are also awaiting Canada’s GDP reading.

  5. Commodities Snapshot:

    • Gold futures: $2,036.4 (-0.4%).
    • U.S. crude: $78.1 (-1.0%).
    • Brent crude: $82.95 (-0.8%).

The outlook for Canadian banks in 2024 remains uncertain, with mortgage rates and interest rates playing a pivotal role. Unless there are rate cuts, most Canadian banks are expected to report earnings declines. As investors navigate these headwinds, the path forward hinges on economic data and central bank decisions.

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