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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....

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Fed faces pressure as producer prices surge in January



The U.S. economy showed signs of inflationary pressures in January, as the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 0.9% year-over-year, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.1% and 0.6%, respectively.

The PPI measures the average change in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, and is often used as an indicator of future consumer inflation. The higher-than-expected PPI in January suggests that the costs of production are increasing, which could eventually be passed on to consumers.

The PPI data comes amid growing debate over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance, as some market participants fear that the central bank’s ultra-low interest rates and massive bond-buying program could fuel excessive inflation and asset bubbles.

However, the Fed has repeatedly signaled that it is not concerned about inflation, and that it will keep its accommodative policy until the economy reaches full employment and inflation averages 2% over time.

In a recent speech, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said that he does not see any need to cut interest rates further, and that he expects the Fed to start tapering its asset purchases later this year.

He also said that he is not worried about the PPI data, as he believes that the rise in producer prices is temporary and will not translate into sustained consumer inflation.

The Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled for March 16-17, when it will update its economic projections and provide more guidance on its future actions.

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