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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...

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Fed faces pressure as producer prices surge in January



The U.S. economy showed signs of inflationary pressures in January, as the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 0.9% year-over-year, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.1% and 0.6%, respectively.

The PPI measures the average change in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, and is often used as an indicator of future consumer inflation. The higher-than-expected PPI in January suggests that the costs of production are increasing, which could eventually be passed on to consumers.

The PPI data comes amid growing debate over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance, as some market participants fear that the central bank’s ultra-low interest rates and massive bond-buying program could fuel excessive inflation and asset bubbles.

However, the Fed has repeatedly signaled that it is not concerned about inflation, and that it will keep its accommodative policy until the economy reaches full employment and inflation averages 2% over time.

In a recent speech, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said that he does not see any need to cut interest rates further, and that he expects the Fed to start tapering its asset purchases later this year.

He also said that he is not worried about the PPI data, as he believes that the rise in producer prices is temporary and will not translate into sustained consumer inflation.

The Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled for March 16-17, when it will update its economic projections and provide more guidance on its future actions.

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