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Bank of Canada Holds the Line as Global Turmoil Clouds Outlook

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem takes part in a press conference in Ottawa on September 17, 2025 The Bank of Canada has opted to keep its key interest rate steady at 2.25%, a decision that reflects the delicate balancing act policymakers face as global uncertainty intensifies. With inflationary pressures rising and economic growth showing signs of strain, the central bank is navigating a narrow path shaped by forces largely outside its control. A major driver of the current tension is the surge in oil prices triggered by ongoing geopolitical conflict. Higher energy costs are feeding into broader inflation, raising concerns that price pressures could become more persistent. At the same time, elevated borrowing costs and weakening consumer confidence are weighing on domestic economic momentum. By holding the rate, the Bank of Canada signals caution: it aims to avoid stifling growth while still keeping inflation expectations anchored. The central bank emphasized that it rema...

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Fed faces pressure as producer prices surge in January



The U.S. economy showed signs of inflationary pressures in January, as the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 0.9% year-over-year, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.1% and 0.6%, respectively.

The PPI measures the average change in the prices received by domestic producers of goods and services, and is often used as an indicator of future consumer inflation. The higher-than-expected PPI in January suggests that the costs of production are increasing, which could eventually be passed on to consumers.

The PPI data comes amid growing debate over the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance, as some market participants fear that the central bank’s ultra-low interest rates and massive bond-buying program could fuel excessive inflation and asset bubbles.

However, the Fed has repeatedly signaled that it is not concerned about inflation, and that it will keep its accommodative policy until the economy reaches full employment and inflation averages 2% over time.

In a recent speech, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said that he does not see any need to cut interest rates further, and that he expects the Fed to start tapering its asset purchases later this year.

He also said that he is not worried about the PPI data, as he believes that the rise in producer prices is temporary and will not translate into sustained consumer inflation.

The Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled for March 16-17, when it will update its economic projections and provide more guidance on its future actions.

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