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Six Days Adrift: Tragedy Strikes Migrant Boat off Greek Coast

  Twenty-two migrants lost their lives off the coast of Greece after spending six harrowing days at sea in a rubber boat that had departed from Tobruk, Libya. According to survivor accounts and Greek coastguard reports, the passengers became disoriented during the journey and were left without food or water, leading to fatal exhaustion.  Rescue teams recovered 26 survivors, including a woman and a minor, near the island of Crete. Several survivors reported that the bodies of those who died were thrown overboard on the orders of smugglers accompanying the group. Greek authorities have since arrested two South Sudanese men, aged 19 and 22, suspected of human trafficking and negligent homicide.  The tragedy highlights the ongoing dangers faced by migrants attempting to reach Europe via the Mediterranean, a route that continues to claim lives despite increased border controls and international attention. Poor weather, overcrowded vessels, and lack of supplies remain persis...

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Fed to Cut US Rates in June: Economists Weigh In

 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to make a move, and economists are closely watching the timing. According to a recent Reuters poll, a slim majority of experts anticipate a rate cut in June. However, the real question is whether the first cut will arrive later than expected, rather than sooner.

Since September, Reuters surveys have consistently predicted that the initial rate cut would occur around the middle of this year. But market sentiment has shifted. Initially pointing to March, expectations have now shifted to May, with June as the most likely time for the first rate reduction.

Despite record highs in stock markets, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has surged nearly 50 basis points to 4.28% this month alone. Strong economic growth, a tight labor market, and persistent inflation have contributed to this upward trend.

In a recent poll conducted from February 14 to 20, 86 out of 104 economists agreed that the Fed would make its first move next quarter. The majority still expect June as the most likely meeting, while others suggest May. A smaller group predicts the first reduction sometime in the second half of 2024. Notably, no one foresees a rate cut in March.

Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, have emphasized the need for confidence in the disinflation trend before adjusting rates. Despite inflation remaining above the 2% target, the central bank remains cautious. Kevin Cummins, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets, recently shifted his forecast for the first Fed cut to June, citing stronger-than-expected growth.

As the Fed navigates economic waters, it aims to avoid repeating past mistakes. The ‘transitory’ inflation blunder has left officials determined not to be caught off guard again. With uncertainty in the air, all eyes are on the central bank’s next move.


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