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Five Key Tax Changes Coming in 2026: What Canadians Need to Know

  As 2026 approaches, Canadians can expect several important updates to the federal tax system. These changes affect retirement planning, income tax brackets, and a range of credits that influence how much individuals and families will owe—or save—when filing their returns. Here’s a quick look at five of the most notable adjustments. 1. Higher RRSP Contribution Limits Canadians will be able to contribute more to their Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) in 2026, thanks to inflation indexing. The increased limit gives savers more room to reduce taxable income while building long‑term retirement security. 2. Updated Federal Tax Brackets Income tax brackets will shift upward to reflect inflation. This means more of your income will be taxed at lower rates, helping offset rising living costs and preventing “bracket creep,” where inflation pushes taxpayers into higher tax brackets without real income gains. 3. Increased Basic Personal Amount (BPA) The Basic Personal Amoun...

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Fed to Cut US Rates in June: Economists Weigh In

 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to make a move, and economists are closely watching the timing. According to a recent Reuters poll, a slim majority of experts anticipate a rate cut in June. However, the real question is whether the first cut will arrive later than expected, rather than sooner.

Since September, Reuters surveys have consistently predicted that the initial rate cut would occur around the middle of this year. But market sentiment has shifted. Initially pointing to March, expectations have now shifted to May, with June as the most likely time for the first rate reduction.

Despite record highs in stock markets, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has surged nearly 50 basis points to 4.28% this month alone. Strong economic growth, a tight labor market, and persistent inflation have contributed to this upward trend.

In a recent poll conducted from February 14 to 20, 86 out of 104 economists agreed that the Fed would make its first move next quarter. The majority still expect June as the most likely meeting, while others suggest May. A smaller group predicts the first reduction sometime in the second half of 2024. Notably, no one foresees a rate cut in March.

Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, have emphasized the need for confidence in the disinflation trend before adjusting rates. Despite inflation remaining above the 2% target, the central bank remains cautious. Kevin Cummins, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets, recently shifted his forecast for the first Fed cut to June, citing stronger-than-expected growth.

As the Fed navigates economic waters, it aims to avoid repeating past mistakes. The ‘transitory’ inflation blunder has left officials determined not to be caught off guard again. With uncertainty in the air, all eyes are on the central bank’s next move.


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