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5 Things to Know Today — June 21, 2026

  Whether you're starting your week or wrapping up your weekend, here are the five Canadian money stories shaping your financial picture right now. 1 Canada Is Technically in a Recession — And the Political Fight Is On Canada's GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026, following a 1% decline in Q4 2025 — two consecutive quarters of negative growth that meet the textbook definition of a technical recession. Prime Minister Mark Carney has called it a "settling-in period" tied to his government's restructuring of the economy in response to the U.S. trade war. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been relentless in his counter-offensive, pointing to rising insolvencies, job losses and food bank usage as proof that the downturn is real, not technical. Many economists, including BMO's chief economist Douglas Porter, have noted that a future revision to Statistics Canada's data could erase the slim 0.1% contraction — meaning this may not ultimate...
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Inflation Surprises Economists: Consumer Prices Rise 3.1% in January

 

The latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics has sent ripples through the financial world. In a surprising twist, consumer prices in the United States rose 3.1% in January, defying forecasts for a faster slowdown. Economists had anticipated a more modest increase, but the reality proved otherwise. Here are the highlights:

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key measure of inflation, climbed 0.3% over the previous month.
  • On an annual basis, prices surged 3.1%, marking a deceleration from December’s 3.4% annual gain.
  • Even the “core” CPI, which excludes the volatile costs of food and gas, saw a slight acceleration. Prices increased 0.4% over the prior month and 3.9% over the past year.

Several factors contributed to this unexpected rise:

  1. Shelter Costs: Housing expenses, including rent and home prices, played a significant role.
  2. Healthcare: Rising healthcare costs added pressure to overall inflation.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions: Bottlenecks and shortages disrupted supply chains, leading to higher prices for goods and services.

Implications and Concerns

  • The Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target has been consistently exceeded, raising concerns about sustained price pressures.
  • Consumers may feel the pinch as everyday expenses continue to climb.
  • Investors and policymakers will closely monitor these developments, as they impact interest rates, investment decisions, and overall economic stability.

In summary, the unexpected surge in consumer prices challenges prevailing forecasts. As we navigate these inflationary waters, vigilance and adaptability will be essential for both individuals and businesses.

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