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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Navigating Interest Rate Changes: What Savers, Investors, and Borrowers Need to Know

 Bank of Canada

As the financial landscape shifts, understanding interest rates becomes crucial for anyone managing their money. Let’s explore how these changes impact different groups:

1. Savers: High-Interest Savings Accounts (HISAs)

High-Interest Savings Accounts (HISAs) offer an opportunity for savers to earn more on their deposits. Here are some top HISAs in Canada:

  1. EQ Bank Personal Account: With a 4.00% rate (including a 1.50% bonus for direct deposits), EQ Bank provides a competitive option.
  2. LBC Digital High-Interest Savings Account: Offers a 3.00% rate.
  3. Motive Savvy Savings Account: Boasts a 4.10% rate.
  4. Simplii Financial High Interest Savings Account: A 6.00% rate for the first 5 months.

Remember, HISAs provide liquidity—no penalties for withdrawals—unlike Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs). While GIC rates have surged recently, HISAs remain flexible.

2. Investors: Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates

Investors should understand the difference between nominal and real interest rates. Nominal rates represent the cost of borrowing or return on investments, while real rates account for inflation. Consider both when making investment decisions.

3. Borrowers: Impact of Rate Hikes

Higher interest rates benefit savers but can be challenging for borrowers. As the Bank of Canada holds its benchmark rate steady at 5%, consider these implications:

  • Mortgages: Variable-rate mortgage holders may see increased payments.
  • Consumer Loans: Interest costs rise for personal loans and credit cards.
  • Investment Decisions: Evaluate fixed vs. variable rates.

In summary, stay informed, adapt your financial strategy, and make the most of changing interest rates.

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