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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Ocean System Approaching Tipping Point: Implications for Global Weather

 

An alarming scenario is unfolding in the vast expanse of the Atlantic Ocean: the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a critical system of ocean currents responsible for redistributing heat across the globe, is inching closer to a precipice. New findings from a sophisticated computer simulation reveal a “cliff-like” tipping point that could spell chaos for our weather patterns in the not-so-distant future.

The AMOC acts as a colossal conveyor belt, shuttling warm water from the tropics toward the North Atlantic. This heat transfer profoundly influences climate and weather systems worldwide. But what happens if this oceanic engine falters?

  1. Deep Freeze in Europe: An abrupt shutdown of the AMOC would plunge northwestern European temperatures by 9 to 27 degrees Celsius over the coming decades. Imagine a Europe gripped by icy cold—a chilling prospect indeed.

  2. Far-Reaching Effects: The repercussions extend beyond Europe’s borders. Arctic ice would advance farther south, altering the delicate balance of our planet. Meanwhile, the Southern Hemisphere would experience intensified heat, and global rainfall patterns would shift. Even the Amazon rainforest would face disruption.

  3. Food and Water Security: Scientists warn that an AMOC collapse could trigger worldwide food and water shortages. The stakes are high, and we’re moving closer to the edge.

When will this global weather calamity strike? Unfortunately, it’s the million-dollar question without a precise answer. While some estimates place it a century away, others suggest it could happen sooner. The rate of climate change induced by humanity plays a pivotal role.

This isn’t science fiction, it’s a real-world concern. The United Nations’ climate panel has downplayed disaster scenarios, but recent research challenges that stance. We ignore the AMOC’s vulnerability at our peril.

As we grapple with the consequences of our actions, let’s remember that the fate of our weather system rests on the delicate currents of the Atlantic. The time to act is now.


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