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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Real Estate Receiverships on the Rise: A Consequence of Elevated Interest Rates and Construction Costs

 


According to a recent report by The Canadian Press, real estate development projects across Canada are increasingly being pushed into receivership due to elevated interest rates, construction costs and delays, and a slower real estate market. Receiverships are a way for secured lenders to have the court appoint someone to take control of the property and either liquidate it or otherwise maximize the value of the assets. While often thought of as a last resort, experts have seen an increase in receiverships as bigger construction projects with multiple mortgages and parties involved start to run into trouble.

From one of Canada’s tallest condo towers to bare tracts of land, residential development projects across the country are facing financial stress. Smaller developers are finding it hard to get more money as the second-tier lenders they often rely on become more cautious. Ontario has seen the bulk of receiverships in recent months, but over the past year, the process has been applied to everything from a historic bank building in Saint John, N.B., to a fire-plagued apartment in Winnipeg.

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