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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Real Estate Receiverships on the Rise: A Consequence of Elevated Interest Rates and Construction Costs

 


According to a recent report by The Canadian Press, real estate development projects across Canada are increasingly being pushed into receivership due to elevated interest rates, construction costs and delays, and a slower real estate market. Receiverships are a way for secured lenders to have the court appoint someone to take control of the property and either liquidate it or otherwise maximize the value of the assets. While often thought of as a last resort, experts have seen an increase in receiverships as bigger construction projects with multiple mortgages and parties involved start to run into trouble.

From one of Canada’s tallest condo towers to bare tracts of land, residential development projects across the country are facing financial stress. Smaller developers are finding it hard to get more money as the second-tier lenders they often rely on become more cautious. Ontario has seen the bulk of receiverships in recent months, but over the past year, the process has been applied to everything from a historic bank building in Saint John, N.B., to a fire-plagued apartment in Winnipeg.
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