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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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Record-Breaking February: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Reach New Heights

 


Investors witnessed an impressive rally in the stock market during February, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite achieving remarkable milestones. Let’s delve into the details of this historic month.

S&P 500: A Stellar Performance

The S&P 500 soared to new heights, closing at 5,095.88, marking an all-time high. This gain of 0.5% on the day capped off the best February for the index since 2015. The positive momentum was fueled by several factors, including a crucial inflation reading and reassuring economic indicators.

Nasdaq Composite: Breaking Records

The Nasdaq Composite stole the spotlight, closing at 16,091.92, its highest close on record. This achievement was particularly significant as it marked the first record close for the Nasdaq since November 2021. The tech-heavy index surged 0.9% on Thursday, reflecting the robust performance of technology companies.

Inflation and Market Sentiment

The closely watched Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index grew 2.4% year-over-year in January, slightly lower than the previous month’s 2.6%. The “core” PCE, the measure often emphasized by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, came in at 2.8%, down from 2.9% in the prior month. Policymakers continue to monitor inflation closely, emphasizing the need for signs of easing price pressures before committing to rate cuts.

Bitcoin’s Resilience

Meanwhile, bitcoin (BTC-USD) maintained its position above $62,000, coming close to its all-time high of $64,000. The leading digital currency’s recent rally has been unprecedented, reminiscent of the pre-“crypto winter” surge in 2022.

Earnings Outlook

As we wrap up the fourth quarter, the S&P 500 is projected to achieve 4% earnings growth compared to the same period last year. Notably, the outlook for earnings growth in the current quarter remains positive, defying the usual downward revisions seen during this time.

In summary, February 2024 will be remembered as a month of remarkable achievements in the stock market. Investors remain cautiously optimistic, closely monitoring economic indicators and inflation trends. As we move forward, the resilience of both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite provides hope for continued growth.


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