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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Stock Market Bounces Back After Tuesday’s Slide


 U.S. stocks are showing resilience today, recovering some of the ground lost during Tuesday’s tumultuous trading session. After a sharp 1.4% decline on Tuesday, the S&P 500 is now 0.5% higher in early trading on Wall Street.

Investors were jolted by a hotter-than-expected report on inflation, which led to concerns that the Federal Reserve might maintain high interest rates for longer than anticipated. The delay in forecasts for interest rate cuts has been a significant factor affecting market sentiment. Expectations of rate cuts had previously fueled the stock market’s recent record-setting rally.

Despite the recent volatility, several companies are making headlines today:

  1. DaVita: The health care company reported stronger-than-expected profits and revenue for the latest quarter, propelling its stock up by 8.2% in the S&P 500.
  2. Lyft: After a wild ride in off-hours trading driven by a typo in its earnings report, Lyft shares surged by 32.8%. The ride-hailing company corrected the typo, but the initial confusion led to a significant after-hours boost.
  3. Uber Technologies: The ride-hailing giant’s board authorized a program to buy back up to $7 billion of its stock, a move that investors tend to favor for its direct impact on per-share profits.

A calmer bond market is also contributing to the steadier stock performance. Treasury yields have eased after their sharp rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield currently at 4.26%, down from Tuesday’s level of 4.32%. However, it remains significantly higher than the start of this month’s 3.85%.

While uncertainties persist, today’s recovery suggests that investors are cautiously navigating the complex landscape of interest rates and economic growth. As always, the stock market remains a dynamic arena, influenced by a multitude of factors. Stay tuned for further developments as we continue to monitor the financial landscape.


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