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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Stocks Rebound After Tuesday’s Sell-Off: A Resilient Recovery

 

On Wednesday, US stocks staged a remarkable comeback, recovering from the previous day’s sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Investors witnessed a swift turnaround as major indices regained their footing.

Key Highlights

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The blue-chip index rebounded by 0.4%, reclaiming ground after a 500-point drop—its worst performance since March 2022
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The broader market index surged by nearly 1%, demonstrating resilience in the face of recent volatility.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): Tech stocks also participated in the recovery, climbing approximately 1.3%.

The surprise consumer inflation report had initially spooked the market, but calm is gradually settling in. Investors are now adjusting their expectations regarding interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized that one inflation report should not cause undue panic, and the underlying trend still points to inflation approaching the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Lyft (LYFT), the ride-hailing giant, experienced a wild ride of its own. After an initial 67% surge following a financial update, the stock corrected an error in its statement, ultimately closing up a more modest 35% during Wednesday’s trading session.

As the market recalibrates, investors are closely monitoring economic indicators and central bank policies. The path forward remains uncertain, but the resilience displayed by stocks in the face of adversity is a testament to their enduring appeal.


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