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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stocks Rebound After Tuesday’s Sell-Off: A Resilient Recovery

 

On Wednesday, US stocks staged a remarkable comeback, recovering from the previous day’s sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Investors witnessed a swift turnaround as major indices regained their footing.

Key Highlights

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The blue-chip index rebounded by 0.4%, reclaiming ground after a 500-point drop—its worst performance since March 2022
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The broader market index surged by nearly 1%, demonstrating resilience in the face of recent volatility.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): Tech stocks also participated in the recovery, climbing approximately 1.3%.

The surprise consumer inflation report had initially spooked the market, but calm is gradually settling in. Investors are now adjusting their expectations regarding interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized that one inflation report should not cause undue panic, and the underlying trend still points to inflation approaching the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Lyft (LYFT), the ride-hailing giant, experienced a wild ride of its own. After an initial 67% surge following a financial update, the stock corrected an error in its statement, ultimately closing up a more modest 35% during Wednesday’s trading session.

As the market recalibrates, investors are closely monitoring economic indicators and central bank policies. The path forward remains uncertain, but the resilience displayed by stocks in the face of adversity is a testament to their enduring appeal.


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