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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Trump Faces $350 Million Judgment in Civil Fraud Trial

 


In a significant legal development, Donald Trump has been slapped with a $350 million judgment by a New York State Supreme Court judge. The ruling comes after a 2½-month trial that exposed what the judge deemed a years-long scheme orchestrated by Trump to deceive banks and others through inflated financial statements. Here are the key details:
  1. Verdict: The judge ruled against Trump, imposing a $364 million penalty for fraudulent business practices in the state of New York.
  2. Deceptive Practices: Trump’s wealth, fame, and the White House were built on a multinational collection of properties, including skyscrapers and golf courses. However, the court found that his success was not just a result of harmless bragging but rather a pattern of deceptive practices.
  3. Three-Year Ban: In addition to the hefty fine, Trump has been barred from serving as an officer or director of any New York corporation for three years.
  4. Appeal: Trump’s legal team has already indicated their intention to appeal the decision.

This landmark judgment is a victory for New York Attorney General Letitia James, who filed the lawsuit against Trump. The former president’s legal battles continue, and the repercussions of this ruling are likely to reverberate in both legal and political circles.


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