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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Understanding the OAS Clawback: Impact and Costs

 

The Old Age Security (OAS) clawback is a critical aspect of Canada’s retirement system. Let’s delve into the details:

What Is the OAS Clawback?

  • Threshold: Seniors who receive OAS payments may need to pay back a portion if their annual income exceeds a certain amount. This threshold is indexed annually and currently stands at $86,912 for 2023 (estimated to be $90,997 for 2024).

  • 15% Tax: For every taxable dollar earned above this threshold, a 15% clawback tax is applied to the OAS benefit. Essentially, seniors still receive OAS income, but it’s reduced by this withholding tax.

Who Is Affected?

  • High Earners: Previously high-income earners applying for OAS may face immediate clawbacks based on prior tax returns. The timing of pension receipt determines which year’s income is considered.

  • Specific Income Levels:

    • 65-74 Years Old: If your income exceeds $142,609, you won’t receive OAS.
    • 75 and Older: For those over 75, the threshold is $148,179.

Costs and Considerations

  • Annualized Growth: Canada’s economy surged in Q4 2023, but the OAS clawback remains a concern for retirees. Balancing growth and income thresholds is crucial.

  • Minimizing Clawback: Strategies exist to minimize the clawback. For instance, managing investment income and optimizing retirement accounts can help.

Remember, while the OAS clawback affects many, it’s essential to consult a professional for personalized advice. 


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