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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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U.S. Retaliatory Strikes in Iraq and Syria: Dozens Killed in Escalating Tensions

 

In a significant escalation of tensions, the United States has launched retaliatory airstrikes in both Iraq and Syria. These strikes targeted more than 85 locations linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) and the militias it supports. The reported death toll stands at nearly 40 people.

The airstrikes were carried out in response to a deadly attack on U.S. troops by Iran-backed militants. President Joe Biden’s administration swiftly responded with this multi-tiered military action, signaling a firm stance against aggression. The strikes involved the use of long-range B-1 bombers flown from the United States, underscoring the seriousness of the situation.

The conflict has intensified, with implications reaching beyond Iraq and Syria. The strikes come amidst ongoing tensions in the region, including the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Iran, a key supporter of Hamas, has maintained a delicate balance, avoiding direct involvement in the regional turmoil while backing various groups across Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and Syria—the so-called “Axis of Resistance” that opposes Israeli and U.S. interests.

Reactions and Condemnations:

Iran: The foreign ministry spokesperson, Nasser Kanaani, labeled the U.S. attacks as “another adventurous and strategic mistake” that would only escalate tension and instability in the region.

Iraq: The Iraqi government condemned the strikes, reporting that they resulted in the deaths of 16 people, including civilians
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Syria: Rami Abdulrahman, director of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, confirmed that 23 people guarding the targeted locations lost their lives in Syria.

Despite these retaliatory actions, the Pentagon maintains that it does not seek war with Iran. It believes Tehran shares this sentiment, even as pressure mounts on President Biden to respond decisively. As the situation unfolds, the world watches closely, aware that the stakes are high and the consequences far-reaching.

In this volatile landscape, the question remains: Can diplomacy prevail, or will the cycle of violence continue? Only time will tell, but the recent strikes serve as a stark reminder of the fragility of peace in the Middle East.

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