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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Inches Lower as S&P 500 Nears 5,000 Milestone

 

On Thursday, Wall Street exhibited a cautious stance, with the S&P 500 teetering on the edge of a significant milestone: the 5,000 level. While futures for the S&P 500 dipped slightly by 0.2% before the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average remained virtually unchanged.

This week’s spotlight is on corporate earnings, as economic indicators from Washington take a back seat. Investors continue to grapple with turbulence in the regional banking sector. Notably, New York Community Bancorp faced another slide, dropping 4.9% early Thursday. The bank’s value has eroded significantly since last week’s surprise loss, attributed to its holdings in commercial real estate. Additionally, the acquisition of Signature Bank, which collapsed during last year’s mini banking crisis, has added to New York Community Bancorp’s challenges.

In brighter news, The Walt Disney Co. surged nearly 8% in premarket trading after reporting robust first-quarter earnings. Cost-cutting measures and increased revenue from theme parks contributed to Disney’s success. The company posted earnings of $1.91 billion, or $1.04 per share, marking a 49% increase from the same period last year.

However, not all companies fared well. PayPal, despite beating sales and profit forecasts, saw its shares plummet by nearly 9.7% before the bell. The culprit? A flat profit forecast for 2024 dampened investor enthusiasm.

In Asian markets, Hong Kong’s benchmark declined, while Shanghai advanced. China’s recent replacement of its top stock market regulator aims to bolster performance in what have been some of the world’s weakest markets this year. The new appointee, Wu Qing, known as the “broker butcher,” has a reputation for cracking down on market abuses like insider trading. The move signals China’s commitment to safeguarding smaller investors who have faced losses in recent sell-offs.

As the S&P 500 hovers near the 5,000 mark, investors remain watchful, balancing optimism with caution. The next steps in this financial dance will determine whether Wall Street can breach this historic threshold.

Disclaimer: The information provided here is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.


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