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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...
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Wall Street Inches Lower as S&P 500 Nears 5,000 Milestone

 

On Thursday, Wall Street exhibited a cautious stance, with the S&P 500 teetering on the edge of a significant milestone: the 5,000 level. While futures for the S&P 500 dipped slightly by 0.2% before the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average remained virtually unchanged.

This week’s spotlight is on corporate earnings, as economic indicators from Washington take a back seat. Investors continue to grapple with turbulence in the regional banking sector. Notably, New York Community Bancorp faced another slide, dropping 4.9% early Thursday. The bank’s value has eroded significantly since last week’s surprise loss, attributed to its holdings in commercial real estate. Additionally, the acquisition of Signature Bank, which collapsed during last year’s mini banking crisis, has added to New York Community Bancorp’s challenges.

In brighter news, The Walt Disney Co. surged nearly 8% in premarket trading after reporting robust first-quarter earnings. Cost-cutting measures and increased revenue from theme parks contributed to Disney’s success. The company posted earnings of $1.91 billion, or $1.04 per share, marking a 49% increase from the same period last year.

However, not all companies fared well. PayPal, despite beating sales and profit forecasts, saw its shares plummet by nearly 9.7% before the bell. The culprit? A flat profit forecast for 2024 dampened investor enthusiasm.

In Asian markets, Hong Kong’s benchmark declined, while Shanghai advanced. China’s recent replacement of its top stock market regulator aims to bolster performance in what have been some of the world’s weakest markets this year. The new appointee, Wu Qing, known as the “broker butcher,” has a reputation for cracking down on market abuses like insider trading. The move signals China’s commitment to safeguarding smaller investors who have faced losses in recent sell-offs.

As the S&P 500 hovers near the 5,000 mark, investors remain watchful, balancing optimism with caution. The next steps in this financial dance will determine whether Wall Street can breach this historic threshold.

Disclaimer: The information provided here is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.


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