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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Wall Street Treads Cautiously Amid Earnings Surge

 


As the earnings season reaches its midway point, Wall Street finds itself in a delicate balancing act. Here’s a snapshot of today’s market dynamics:

  • S&P 500 (GSPC) futures edged up by less than 0.1% before the opening bell.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) futures experienced a marginal decline, shedding less than 0.1%.

Investors are closely monitoring corporate results, but optimism for a March interest rate cut is waning. Recent data confirms the resilience of the U.S. economy, despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes. Notable highlights include:

  1. Strong Services Sector: A report on Monday revealed that U.S. services industries are growing faster than expected, reflecting economic strength.
  1. Labor Market Resilience: Friday’s robust jobs report indicated a still-strong labor market, despite ongoing layoffs.

Market sentiment suggests that the Fed’s projected interest rate cuts may be pushed back to June, rather than May. Traders are adjusting their expectations accordingl.

In equities trading, some key movers include:

  • Tesla (TSLA): The electric car company continues to slide, losing over 2% in premarket trading. Concerns about recalls and future earnings weigh on investor confidence.
  • FMC: The Philadelphia chemical maker saw a 14% premarket tumble after falling short of Wall Street expectations in sales and profit.
  • Spotify (SPOT): The music streaming and podcast platform surged more than 6% after reporting stronger-than-expected subscriber growth, despite revenue missing analyst targets.

As we await earnings reports from heavyweights like CVS Health, The Walt Disney Co., and PepsiCo, the market remains cautiously optimistic. Stay tuned for further developments as the earnings season unfolds! 

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