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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Wall Street Treads Cautiously Amid Earnings Surge

 


As the earnings season reaches its midway point, Wall Street finds itself in a delicate balancing act. Here’s a snapshot of today’s market dynamics:

  • S&P 500 (GSPC) futures edged up by less than 0.1% before the opening bell.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) futures experienced a marginal decline, shedding less than 0.1%.

Investors are closely monitoring corporate results, but optimism for a March interest rate cut is waning. Recent data confirms the resilience of the U.S. economy, despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation through interest rate hikes. Notable highlights include:

  1. Strong Services Sector: A report on Monday revealed that U.S. services industries are growing faster than expected, reflecting economic strength.
  1. Labor Market Resilience: Friday’s robust jobs report indicated a still-strong labor market, despite ongoing layoffs.

Market sentiment suggests that the Fed’s projected interest rate cuts may be pushed back to June, rather than May. Traders are adjusting their expectations accordingl.

In equities trading, some key movers include:

  • Tesla (TSLA): The electric car company continues to slide, losing over 2% in premarket trading. Concerns about recalls and future earnings weigh on investor confidence.
  • FMC: The Philadelphia chemical maker saw a 14% premarket tumble after falling short of Wall Street expectations in sales and profit.
  • Spotify (SPOT): The music streaming and podcast platform surged more than 6% after reporting stronger-than-expected subscriber growth, despite revenue missing analyst targets.

As we await earnings reports from heavyweights like CVS Health, The Walt Disney Co., and PepsiCo, the market remains cautiously optimistic. Stay tuned for further developments as the earnings season unfolds! 

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