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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Anticipation Builds on Wall Street as Federal Reserve Meeting Nears

 


In a climate of cautious optimism, Wall Street experienced a modest rise in early trading on Monday. Investors are keenly awaiting the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, which is expected to provide critical cues on the future of monetary policy and interest rates.

The S&P 500 futures saw a 0.7% increase, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up slightly. This uptick comes amidst a broader context of fluctuating tech stocks and a recovering Nasdaq, spurred by Nvidia’s commencement of its AI conference.

The financial community is abuzz with speculation, as the Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain borrowing costs steady. The central bank’s decision will be pivotal in shaping the trajectory of the U.S. economy, which has been grappling with inflation rates that soared as high as 9.1% in 2022.

As the week progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve, with investors hoping for signals that could confirm a rate cut in June. The outcome of this meeting could either fuel the rally that began in October or further stall the market’s momentum.

In Europe, markets have shown a slight increase, with Germany’s DAX adding 0.3% and both the FTSE 100 in London and the CAC 40 in Paris edging 0.2% higher. Meanwhile, Asian markets have also advanced, with the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo making a significant leap.

The anticipation is palpable as the world waits to see how the Federal Reserve will steer the course of the U.S. economy amidst ongoing inflation concerns and a complex global financial landscape.

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