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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Anticipation Builds on Wall Street as Federal Reserve Meeting Nears

 


In a climate of cautious optimism, Wall Street experienced a modest rise in early trading on Monday. Investors are keenly awaiting the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, which is expected to provide critical cues on the future of monetary policy and interest rates.

The S&P 500 futures saw a 0.7% increase, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up slightly. This uptick comes amidst a broader context of fluctuating tech stocks and a recovering Nasdaq, spurred by Nvidia’s commencement of its AI conference.

The financial community is abuzz with speculation, as the Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain borrowing costs steady. The central bank’s decision will be pivotal in shaping the trajectory of the U.S. economy, which has been grappling with inflation rates that soared as high as 9.1% in 2022.

As the week progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve, with investors hoping for signals that could confirm a rate cut in June. The outcome of this meeting could either fuel the rally that began in October or further stall the market’s momentum.

In Europe, markets have shown a slight increase, with Germany’s DAX adding 0.3% and both the FTSE 100 in London and the CAC 40 in Paris edging 0.2% higher. Meanwhile, Asian markets have also advanced, with the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo making a significant leap.

The anticipation is palpable as the world waits to see how the Federal Reserve will steer the course of the U.S. economy amidst ongoing inflation concerns and a complex global financial landscape.

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