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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada Temporarily Reduces Embassy Staff in Haiti Amid Security Concerns

 

In response to the escalating security situation in Haiti, Canada has made the decision to temporarily reduce the number of Canadian embassy staff in Port-au-Prince. The move comes as gang violence continues to plague the capital city.

Key Points:

  1. Volatility and Safety Concerns:

    • The volatility of the security situation in Haiti has prompted Global Affairs Canada to take action.
    • The lack of reliable supplies and the need to maintain an effective presence in a challenging environment have led to this staffing adjustment.

  2. Essential Personnel Only:

    • Canada will maintain a skeleton crew of essential personnel at its embassy in Haiti.
    • These relocated staff members will continue to fulfill their duties from a third country, primarily the Dominican Republic.

  3. U.S. Parallel Move:

    • The U.S. also recently reduced its diplomatic presence in Haiti due to heightened gang violence.
    • U.S. Marines escorted a portion of their diplomatic corps out of the country, while some remained to provide additional protection.

  4. Challenges for Evacuation:

    • Approximately 3,000 Canadian citizens are currently in Haiti, mainly in and around Port-au-Prince.
    • Evacuating them poses challenges due to the closure of the main airport, which has been targeted by gangs.

  5. Support and Caution:

    • Despite the staffing reduction, Canada’s embassy will continue to support Canadians in Haiti.
    • The public is advised to shelter in place and respect the curfew.

Canada remains committed to assisting its citizens and maintaining diplomatic engagement, even in the face of security risks.



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