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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Canada’s Carbon Price Set to Rise on April 1: What You Need to Know

Canada’s carbon price is poised to increase on April 1, despite some provincial leaders expressing concerns about affordability. Let’s delve into the details:

The impending carbon price hike is not unexpected. It’s a fundamental policy of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s minority Liberal government. By putting a price on pollution, the aim is to encourage people to use fewer fossil fuels, ultimately reducing emissions from the economy. Annual increases are part of the government’s overall pricing scheme, with plans extending until at least 2030.

For most Canadians, the impact of the April 1 increase will be most noticeable at the gas station and on energy bills. Here’s how it breaks down:

  • Gasoline: The carbon tax will add 17 cents per liter.
  • Diesel: Expect an additional 21 cents per liter.
  • Natural Gas: The increase amounts to 15 cents per cubic meter.

Keep in mind that British Columbia, Quebec, and the Northwest Territories have their own carbon pricing systems in place, while other provinces and territories fall under the federal backstop plan.

While the carbon price does play a role in household affordability, it’s essential to recognize that its effects are relatively small compared to global oil prices and corporate profitability. Canadians may also experience indirect effects, such as transportation costs influencing food prices.

In summary, Canada’s commitment to tackling climate change involves incremental carbon price increases, aiming for a greener and more sustainable future.

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