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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...
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February Inflation: Consumer Prices Rise More Than Expected

 

Inflation in the United States continued its upward trend in February, surpassing expectations and raising concerns for policymakers. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key measure of inflation, rose 0.4% from January, in line with month-over-month expectations. However, the year-over-year increase was 3.2%, exceeding estimates of 3.1%.

Here are the key takeaways:

  1. Core CPI: Excluding food and energy costs, the core CPI increased by 3.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than the expected 3.7%.

  2. Gasoline Prices: Rising gas prices played a significant role in pushing up overall inflation. The surge in energy costs contributed to the unexpected acceleration in consumer prices.

  3. Federal Reserve Implications: The Federal Reserve closely monitors inflation data to guide its monetary policy decisions. With the latest CPI report, the central bank faces the challenge of balancing price pressures while ensuring economic stability.

  4. Market Impact: Investors are closely watching inflation trends, as they can influence interest rates and investment strategies. The unexpected rise in February’s inflation may impact market sentiment and expectations.

As the Fed’s next policy decision approaches, economists and policymakers will closely analyze this data. The question remains: Will the central bank take action to address inflationary pressures, or will it maintain its current stance? Only time will tell, but February’s CPI report provides valuable insights for investors and policymakers alike.

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