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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Day, Fed, Loonie, Tariff Talks and OAS Boost

  Canadian Money Brief 5 Things to Know Today Wednesday, October 28, 2026 It’s a heavy day for Canadian wallets. The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision this morning, the U.S. Fed follows this afternoon, tariff talks are heating up, and bigger OAS deposits land in bank accounts. Here’s what to know. 1 The Bank of Canada decides this morning — a hike is widely expected The decision lands at 9:45 a.m. ET, along with a new Monetary Policy Report. Markets and economists expect a quarter-point increase to 2.50% from 2.25%, which would be the first hike since July 2023. Nineteen of 34 economists in a Reuters poll called for the move, and investors were pricing roughly a 75% chance on Tuesday. The case for it: inflation hit 3.1% in September, driven almost entirely by energy, even as core measures eased below 2%. What it means for you A hike would likely lift prime rates quickly, so variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs feel it first. Roughly, 0.25 points adds about $250 a year per $...

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February Inflation: Consumer Prices Rise More Than Expected

 

Inflation in the United States continued its upward trend in February, surpassing expectations and raising concerns for policymakers. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key measure of inflation, rose 0.4% from January, in line with month-over-month expectations. However, the year-over-year increase was 3.2%, exceeding estimates of 3.1%.

Here are the key takeaways:

  1. Core CPI: Excluding food and energy costs, the core CPI increased by 3.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than the expected 3.7%.

  2. Gasoline Prices: Rising gas prices played a significant role in pushing up overall inflation. The surge in energy costs contributed to the unexpected acceleration in consumer prices.

  3. Federal Reserve Implications: The Federal Reserve closely monitors inflation data to guide its monetary policy decisions. With the latest CPI report, the central bank faces the challenge of balancing price pressures while ensuring economic stability.

  4. Market Impact: Investors are closely watching inflation trends, as they can influence interest rates and investment strategies. The unexpected rise in February’s inflation may impact market sentiment and expectations.

As the Fed’s next policy decision approaches, economists and policymakers will closely analyze this data. The question remains: Will the central bank take action to address inflationary pressures, or will it maintain its current stance? Only time will tell, but February’s CPI report provides valuable insights for investors and policymakers alike.

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