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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Gaza Ceasefire Talks End with No Breakthrough Ahead of Ramadan

 

Ceasefire negotiations between Hamas and mediators concluded in Cairo without any significant progress. With just days remaining before the start of Ramadan, the urgency to halt the fighting in the Gaza Strip remains critical.

During the two-day talks, Hamas presented its proposal for a ceasefire agreement, but the Israeli delegation chose to stay away from this round. Senior Hamas official Bassem Naim expressed frustration, stating, “Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu doesn’t want to reach an agreement, and the ball now is in the Americans’ court” to press for a deal.

Israel has not officially commented on the Cairo talks. However, their stance remains firm: they demand that Hamas provide a list of 40 elderly, sick, and female hostages who would be the first to be released as part of an initial six-week truce. Meanwhile, Hamas insists on allowing large-scale humanitarian aid into Gaza and facilitating the return of Palestinians displaced from their homes in the northern part of the coastal strip.

As the Muslim holy month of Ramadan approaches, the situation remains precarious. The informal deadline for a deal looms, and the fate of civilians caught in the conflict hangs in the balance. While the world watches, the hope is that diplomatic efforts will yield results and prevent further suffering.


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