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Markets Slip as Investors Bet on Extended U.S.–Iran Ceasefire

  Stocks Edge Lower as Investors Hope U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Will Hold Stocks drifted lower today as markets balanced cautious optimism over a potential extension of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire with persistent geopolitical and inflation concerns. Recent trading sessions have shown that even modest signs of diplomatic progress can meaningfully shift investor sentiment. Asian and U.S. markets rallied earlier this week on hopes that Washington and Tehran would continue negotiations, helping unwind some of the war-driven risk premiums that had pushed oil and volatility higher. Despite the pullback, investors remain hopeful that the ceasefire—currently set to expire soon—will be extended, giving negotiators more time to work toward a longer-term agreement. Reports indicate both sides are considering adding another two weeks to the pause, a move that has already helped push Brent crude below the recent peak of nearly US$120 per barrel. Lower oil prices have eased pressure on inflation expecta...
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Hamas Rejects Cease-Fire Proposal Amid Escalating Tensions

In a recent development, Hamas has firmly rejected the latest cease-fire proposal, accusing Israel of ignoring its core demands. These demands include an end to the ongoing war and a full withdrawal from Gaza. The statement came shortly after the United Nations Security Council approved a resolution calling for an immediate cease-fire and the release of all hostages held in Gaza.

The vote at the UN provoked a clash between Israel and the United States. Surprisingly, the US decided not to use its veto power, leading to further tensions. In response, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu canceled a high-level delegation’s planned visit to Washington.

An independent expert working with the U.N.’s top human rights body has also raised concerns. The expert stated that there are “reasonable grounds” to believe that Israel is carrying out genocide in Gaza. Meanwhile, international aid officials report that the entire population of the Gaza Strip—2.3 million people—is suffering from food insecurity, with famine looming in the hard-hit north. The conflict has resulted in over 32,000 deaths and more than 74,000 wounded, with women and children making up two-thirds of the casualties. Additionally, Hamas is still believed to be holding around 100 Israelis hostage, along with the remains of 30 others.

As the situation remains tense, the U.N.'s demand for a cease-fire in Gaza has provoked the strongest clash between the U.S. and Israel since the war began. Israeli and U.S. defense chiefs are set to meet, and global support for Israel’s offensive is waning. All this unfolds against the backdrop of Jerusalem’s festive holiday of Purim, which is now overshadowed by the ongoing conflict.

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