On Sunday,
Iran’s currency plummeted to a
record low, reaching
613,500 rials to the dollar. This significant devaluation occurred as Iranians celebrated the
Persian New Year. The streets of Tehran’s main exchange hub in
Ferdowsi Street were abuzz with people attempting to exchange their rials for foreign currency. However, most exchange shops remained closed due to the ongoing
Nowruz holidays, which span from
March 20 to April 2.
Holiday Impact on Exchange Rates
- Mohsen, a 32-year-old exchange shop employee, explained that the holiday season contributed to the low prices. He stated, “The price is not real; the demand for purchasing dollars is very high, but there are just a few exchange shops open.” Many Iranians echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the scarcity of open shops during the festive period.
- Mojtaba, a 49-year-old father, expressed shock at the rapid decline: “The rial fell 5% compared to the last six days, while the whole country is on vacation!”
- Niloufar, a 28-year-old wife, and her husband Behzad, 30, had initially booked a discounted weeklong tour of Turkey. However, with the currency depreciation, they now faced the prospect of paying full price for their trip.
Economic Struggles and Inflation
- The exchange rate significantly impacts other markets, including housing and rentals. Notably, the rial’s value has eroded dramatically over the years. In 2015, it was worth about one-twentieth of its current value when Iran signed a nuclear accord with world powers.
- Since then, the rial has fallen from 32,000 rials to the dollar to the hundreds of thousands. In February 2023, it briefly reached a nadir of 600,000 reals to the dollar and has not risen above 439,000 since then.
- The government’s Statistics Center reported an inflation rate of 42.5% for February 2024, while the Central Bank cited a higher figure of over 46%. The discrepancy remains unexplained.
Tensions and Failed Diplomacy
- Iran’s relations with the West have been strained since then-U.S. President Donald Trump abandoned the nuclear deal. President Joe Biden expressed willingness to re-enter the agreement, but formal talks collapsed in August 2022.
- Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, further complicating nuclear diplomacy with Iran.
As Iranians celebrate Nowruz, their economic challenges persist, and the value of their currency remains precarious.
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